Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 22.38 | $0.983 | $22.03 | +$0.03 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.840 | $4 | May 16, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 6.69 |
| $0.955 |
| $6.6 |
| +$0.21 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 2.25 | $0.889 | $0.15 | -$1.85 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 9.66 | $0.770 | $0.07 | -$7.37 |
| buy |
| 5.07 |
| $0.987 |
| $5 |
| May 16, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.955 | $2 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.984 | $3 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 6.27 | $0.957 | $6 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 3.24 | $0.991 | $3.21 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.978 | $3 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.998 | $3 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 6.69 | $0.955 | $6.39 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.972 | $2.07 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.889 | $2 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.66 | $0.770 | $7.44 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 31?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.998 | $4 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | buy | 9.15 | $0.984 | $9 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 22.38 | $0.983 | $22 | Nov 30, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced by October 31?No | buy | 48.38 | $0.998 | $48.28 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No | buy | 29.54 | $0.956 | $28.24 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 2.15 | $0.974 | $2.09 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | sell | 8.51 | $0.977 | $8.31 | Sep 23, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Mistral by September 30?No | buy | 6.37 | $0.998 | $6.36 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will "One Battle After Another" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 23m?No | buy | 4.11 | $0.973 | $4 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump's UN speech be less than 20 minutes?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.977 | $8 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will "KPop Demon Hunters" have less than 270m views on September 23?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Sep 20, 2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on September 21?No | buy | 4.6 | $0.998 | $4.59 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will the 2025 Guinea referendum pass?Yes | buy | 5.35 | $0.934 | $5 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 76°F or higher on September 20?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Rotten Tomatoes" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will Iranian officials visit the White House before August?No | buy | 497.62 | $0.999 | $497.11 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July?No | buy | 823.82 | $0.999 | $823 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?No | buy | 8.51 | $0.940 | $8 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Will AG Blanche meet with Ghislaine Maxwell by Friday?Yes | sell | 28.18 | $0.264 | $7.43 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?No | sell | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | sell | 4.22 | $0.935 | $3.95 | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.946 | $4 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Trump x Xi talk before July?No | buy | 12.22 | $0.999 | $12.21 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Hwang Kyo-ahn win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | May 15, 2025 |
 Will Szymon Hołownia be the next President of Poland?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.999 | $2.7 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.986 | $2.41 | Mar 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump Media invest in Solana before March?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.998 | $4 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will Elon be worth $500b before March?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.989 | $2 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Will Poland win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.011 | $15 | Feb 20, 2025 |
 Trudeau no confidence motion passes before April?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.980 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to resume Russian natural gas transit in January?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.976 | $2 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Human to human bird flu transmission before February?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jan 13, 2025 |
 Israel x Egypt sever diplomatic relations before February?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.979 | $2 | Jan 13, 2025 |