Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 53.68 | $0.857 | $49.66 | +$3.65 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | 3d ago |
| Yes |
| 48.19 |
| $0.820 |
| $42.17 |
| +$2.67 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.900 | $17.56 | -$2.44 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 17.98 | $0.890 | $15.73 | -$0.27 |
 Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | Yes | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10.57 | +$0.57 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 11.06 | $0.633 | $6.69 | -$0.31 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 42.63 | $0.258 | $6.18 | -$4.82 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.24 | $0.650 | $4.85 | -$1.15 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21.28 | $0.470 | $4.79 | -$5.21 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 12.54 | $0.399 | $4.41 | -$0.6 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 41.67 | $0.120 | $3 | -$2 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No| buy |
| 11.06 |
| $0.633 |
| $7 |
| 4d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo | buy | 17.98 | $0.890 | $16 | 16d ago |
 Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 15.78 | $0.330 | $5.21 | 18d ago |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | sell | 11.44 | $0.673 | $7.7 | 18d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 12.66 | $0.790 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | 21d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?No | sell | 7.04 | $0.870 | $6.12 | 23d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | sell | 8.98 | $0.127 | $1.14 | 23d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes | buy | 11.44 | $0.874 | $10 | 23d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 23.03 | $0.890 | $20.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 24.57 | $0.814 | $20 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 8.98 | $0.557 | $5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 5.08 | $0.590 | $3 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 12.35 | $0.190 | $2.35 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | sell | 15.64 | $0.786 | $12.29 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.23 | $0.650 | $6 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 42.22 | $0.999 | $42.18 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 12.34 | $0.210 | $2.59 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 23.73 | $0.850 | $20.17 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.950 | $19 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.27 | $0.798 | $5 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | sell | 8.47 | $0.310 | $2.63 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.972 | $19.43 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.870 | $17.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 15.65 | $0.639 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.580 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Max Holloway | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.810 | $18 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?No | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes | buy | 18.57 | $0.269 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 8.77 | $0.610 | $5.35 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 410.78 | $0.140 | $57.51 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 115.38 | $0.130 | $15 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 7.25 | $0.652 | $4.73 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.840 | $16 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 12.53 | $0.399 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 46.51 | $0.999 | $46.46 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.648 | $4.7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 44.44 | $0.570 | $25.33 | Jul 1, 2026 |