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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 168.01 | $0.994 | $166.92 | -$0.08 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 136.5 | $0.989 | $135 | 6d ago |
| No |
| 136.5 |
| $0.989 |
| $135.68 |
| +$0.68 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No| buy |
| 168.01 |
| $0.994 |
| $167 |
| 6d ago |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 122.32 | $0.981 | $120 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 178.79 | $0.990 | $177 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?No | buy | 143 | $0.979 | $140 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 156.88 | $0.988 | $155 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 111.68 | $0.985 | $110 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 181.45 | $0.992 | $180 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5Under | buy | 113.27 | $0.980 | $111 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 180.9 | $0.995 | $180 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 114.58 | $0.960 | $110 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?No | buy | 202.84 | $0.986 | $200 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 83.59 | $0.981 | $82 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down on April 1?Up | buy | 201.82 | $0.984 | $198.53 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?No | buy | 150.91 | $0.994 | $150 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.992 | $160 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?No | buy | 155.45 | $0.965 | $150 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31?No | buy | 124.62 | $0.987 | $123 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?No | buy | 271 | $0.998 | $270.46 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 157.6 | $0.210 | $33.1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 2 above $230?Yes | buy | 231.45 | $0.994 | $230 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 157.61 | $0.920 | $145 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 201.61 | $0.992 | $200 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 175.79 | $0.950 | $167 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?No | buy | 362.09 | $0.997 | $361 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?No | buy | 355.42 | $0.996 | $354 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will "Five Nights at Freddy's 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 57m?Yes | buy | 179.8 | $0.990 | $178 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 7?No | buy | 170.51 | $0.997 | $170 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 206.2 | $0.970 | $200 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will a dozen eggs cost >$4.25 in October?No | buy | 160.32 | $0.998 | $160 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 November 10-16?No | buy | 179.15 | $0.988 | $177 | Nov 11, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?No | buy | 111.56 | $0.995 | $111 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | buy | 170.85 | $0.995 | $170 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | sell | 276 | $0.992 | $273.79 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 330.94 | $0.973 | $322 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.980 | $100 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 $YZY listed on Coinbase or Binance by September 30?No | buy | 68.18 | $0.968 | $66 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Rabby airdrop in Q3 2025?No | buy | 156.57 | $0.990 | $155 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 221.11 | $0.995 | $220 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $26m?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on July 9?No | buy | 80.24 | $0.997 | $80 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Solana Up or Down on July 9?Up | buy | 236.6 | $0.989 | $234 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Solana all time high by June 30?No | buy | 320.89 | $0.997 | $320 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13?Down | buy | 294.88 | $0.997 | $294 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will "Thunderbolts" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80 and 89?Yes | buy | 160.74 | $0.995 | $160 | May 4, 2025 |
 Dillon Danis x Gorilla fight scheduled by next Friday?No | buy | 19.08 | $0.996 | $19 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Czechia be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?No | buy | 140.28 | $0.998 | $140 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump create 'gold card' citizenship before April?No | buy | 120.12 | $0.999 | $120 | Apr 1, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign 25-29 executive orders in March?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Apr 1, 2025 |