Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 14?Yes | buy | 6.05 | $0.969 | $5.86 | May 14, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 5.87 |
| $0.999 |
| $5.86 |
| May 14, 2026 |
 Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 4.63 | $0.950 | $4.4 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $5.8B in Q2?Yes | buy | 4.58 | $0.960 | $4.4 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $5.7B in Q2?Yes | buy | 4.63 | $0.950 | $4.4 | May 13, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.4 | $0.999 | $4.4 | May 13, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.41 | $0.998 | $4.4 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.981 | $4.9 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 13?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.940 | $2.88 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 13?Yes | buy | 3.02 | $0.997 | $3.01 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?Yes | buy | 4.22 | $0.995 | $4.2 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 13?Yes | buy | 4.38 | $0.960 | $4.2 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?Yes | buy | 4.2 | $0.999 | $4.2 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.21 | $0.997 | $4.2 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will King Charles say "House / Housing" during State Opening?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.989 | $1.62 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will King Charles say "Common / Commons" during State Opening?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.989 | $1.62 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will King Charles say "Security" during State Opening?Yes | buy | 1.71 | $0.950 | $1.62 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will King Charles say "Government" 3+ times during State Opening?Yes | buy | 1.66 | $0.976 | $1.62 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will "Crazy" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 6.02 | $0.970 | $5.84 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will "China" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?Yes | buy | 6.71 | $0.870 | $5.84 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $8.5B in Q3?Yes | buy | 7.12 | $0.820 | $5.84 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $8.0B in Q3?Yes | buy | 5.9 | $0.990 | $5.84 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $7.5B in Q3?Yes | buy | 5.86 | $0.997 | $5.84 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $2.0B in Q3?Yes | buy | 6.95 | $0.840 | $5.84 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.5B in Q3?Yes | buy | 6.49 | $0.900 | $5.84 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will Cisco's AI orders taken from hyperscalers be at least $1.0B in Q3?Yes | buy | 5.85 | $0.998 | $5.84 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?Yes | buy | 3.84 | $0.920 | $3.53 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?Yes | buy | 3.54 | $0.998 | $3.53 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 12?Yes | buy | 3.76 | $0.940 | $3.53 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 12?Yes | buy | 3.97 | $0.890 | $3.53 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 12?Yes | buy | 3.55 | $0.995 | $3.53 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.56 | $0.992 | $3.53 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.54 | $0.998 | $3.53 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.990 | $3.53 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will eToro (ETOR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.990 | $3.53 | May 12, 2026 |
 Will Ras Baraka win the Newark mayoral election?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.987 | $2.99 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?Yes | buy | 3.29 | $0.910 | $2.99 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?Yes | buy | 7.53 | $0.969 | $7.3 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?Yes | buy | 7.85 | $0.930 | $7.3 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on May 12?Yes | buy | 7.4 | $0.986 | $7.3 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Cindy Burbank be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Nebraska?Yes | buy | 7.31 | $0.999 | $7.3 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Pete Ricketts be the Republican nominee for Senate in Nebraska?Yes | buy | 7.32 | $0.997 | $7.3 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Shelley Moore Capito be the Republican nominee for Senate in West Virginia?Yes | buy | 7.31 | $0.999 | $7.3 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Brinker Harding be the Republican nominee for NE-02?Yes | buy | 7.31 | $0.999 | $7.3 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5.05 | $0.930 | $4.7 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will AECOM (ACM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 4.8 | $0.980 | $4.7 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 11?Yes | buy | 5.52 | $0.860 | $4.75 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.8 | $0.990 | $4.75 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?Yes | buy | 8.24 | $0.962 | $7.93 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 11?Yes | buy | 8.35 | $0.950 | $7.93 | May 11, 2026 |