Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 250 | $0.165 | $48.5 | +$7.2 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.291 | $14.55 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.370 |
| $25.25 |
| +$6.75 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 400 | $0.067 | $15.4 | -$11.6 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50 | $0.350 | $7.23 | -$10.28 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.070 | $6.9 | -$7.1 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.110 | $5.5 | -$5.5 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | Yes | 200 | $0.022 | $4.7 | +$0.3 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50 | $0.190 | $3.6 | -$5.9 |
 Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 600.1 | $0.005 | $3.3 | +$0.3 |
 Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 305.6 | $0.016 | $3.06 | -$1.83 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1K | $0.007 | $2.5 | -$4.5 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 500 | $0.005 | $2.5 | $0 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.110 | $1.75 | -$9.25 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.190 | $1.68 | -$7.83 |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 2.87K | $0.003 | $1.43 | -$6.39 |
 Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 150 | $0.020 | $1.43 | -$1.58 |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.002 | $1.25 | -$3.75 |
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.002 | $1.25 | -$3.75 |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 2K | $0.001 | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 2K | $0.001 | $1 | -$1 |
| Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 999.98 | $0.011 | $0.5 | -$10.5 |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 905.79 | $0.002 | $0.45 | -$1.36 |
 Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? | Yes | 24.89 | $0.170 | $0.4 | -$3.83 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 20 | $0.010 | $0.31 | +$0.11 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 25 | $0.040 | $0.06 | -$0.94 |
| buy |
| 1.9 |
| $0.510 |
| $0.97 |
| Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.94 | $0.500 | $0.97 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 1.98 | $0.490 | $0.97 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETUp | buy | 4.62 | $0.420 | $1.94 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 5.41 | $0.360 | $1.95 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETUp | buy | 1.86 | $0.520 | $0.97 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETUp | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ETUp | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes | sell | 151 | $0.035 | $5.29 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETUp | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETUp | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown | buy | 21.54 | $0.450 | $9.69 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown | buy | 4.89 | $0.690 | $3.37 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETDown | buy | 33.06 | $0.150 | $4.96 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp | sell | 11.76 | $0.090 | $1.06 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETUp | buy | 14.18 | $0.140 | $1.99 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETUp | buy | 8.37 | $0.580 | $4.85 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETDown | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETDown | buy | 11.33 | $0.260 | $2.94 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETUp | buy | 11.07 | $0.090 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETDown | buy | 99.98 | $0.020 | $2 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETDown | buy | 8.37 | $0.580 | $4.85 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 66.64 | $0.030 | $2 | Feb 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.037 | $5.55 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.370 | $18.5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.005 | $1.14 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 91.16 | $0.210 | $19.14 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?No | sell | 30 | $0.907 | $27.21 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.080 | $8 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Yes | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Pelicans vs. ThunderPelicans | buy | 75 | $0.140 | $10.5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.027 | $5.4 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Yes | buy | 17.28 | $0.347 | $6 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.060 | $6 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.011 | $5.5 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.350 | $17.5 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Resolve" or "Hammer" during WEF Address on January 21?No | sell | 14.28 | $0.990 | $14.14 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Mortgage" during WEF Address on January 21?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Affordability" during WEF Address on January 21?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Resolve" or "Hammer" during WEF Address on January 21?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Globalist" or "Global" during WEF Address on January 21?No | buy | 24.73 | $0.202 | $5 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA?Yes | sell | 185.75 | $0.001 | $0.19 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Israel or the US target Tehran?Yes | sell | 30.54 | $0.250 | $7.64 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?No | buy | 41.16 | $0.607 | $25 | Jan 12, 2026 |