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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 53.33 | $0.890 | $50.93 | +$3.47 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 33 | $0.974 | $32.14 | Jan 5, 2026 |
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| No |
| 57 |
| $0.500 |
| $48.82 |
| +$20.32 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 33 | $0.974 | $32.52 | +$0.38 |
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 14.06 | $0.995 | $13.98 | -$0.01 |
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 10.33 | $0.992 | $10.31 | +$0.07 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 57 | $0.500 | $8.18 | -$20.32 |
| buy |
| 53.33 |
| $0.890 |
| $47.46 |
| Jan 5, 2026 |
Will Xi visit the US by December 31?No | buy | 16.55 | $0.999 | $16.53 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 10.33 | $0.992 | $10.25 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 14.06 | $0.995 | $13.99 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will OpenAI acquire Chrome by December 31?No | buy | 10.3 | $0.999 | $10.29 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Anthropic acquired in 2025?No | buy | 33 | $0.997 | $32.9 | Dec 29, 2025 |
China coup attempt in 2025?No | buy | 6.51 | $0.999 | $6.5 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2025?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.999 | $10.52 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage in 2025?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.998 | $1.64 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will North Korea invade South Korea in 2025?No | buy | 5.55 | $0.998 | $5.54 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?No | buy | 10.49 | $0.999 | $10.48 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.999 | $13.32 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?No | buy | 5.5 | $0.998 | $5.49 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 24.58K | $0.001 | $24.58 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 162.02 | $0.994 | $161.05 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Jul 11, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 25 | $0.910 | $22.75 | Jun 14, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.810 | $40.5 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Bybit insolvent before April?No | sell | 308 | $0.990 | $304.92 | Mar 12, 2025 |
Bybit insolvent before April?No | buy | 308 | $0.992 | $305.54 | Mar 11, 2025 |
Base airdrop in Q1 2025?No | buy | 15 | $0.980 | $14.7 | Feb 11, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | sell | 70 | $0.900 | $63 | Feb 11, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | buy | 14 | $0.860 | $12.04 | Jan 23, 2025 |
Will Trump be Speaker by January 1?No | buy | 64.01 | $0.998 | $63.88 | Dec 30, 2024 |
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?No | buy | 23 | $0.979 | $22.52 | Nov 12, 2024 |
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Oct 20, 2024 |
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 30 | $0.980 | $29.4 | Oct 20, 2024 |
Scroll airdrop in 2024?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.997 | $22.93 | Oct 20, 2024 |
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?Republican | buy | 14 | $0.590 | $8.26 | Oct 20, 2024 |
Another Trump x Musk space before October?No | buy | 61 | $0.997 | $60.82 | Sep 30, 2024 |
USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes | buy | 110.2 | $0.998 | $109.98 | Aug 8, 2024 |