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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 400 | $0.610 | $290 | +$46 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | 11h ago |
 |
| No |
| 340.47 |
| $0.609 |
| $220.79 |
| +$13.53 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 365 | $0.480 | $158.78 | -$16.43 |
 Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.600 | $127 | +$7 |
 LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 200 | $0.720 | $112 | -$32 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 467.74 | $0.280 | $105.24 | -$25.73 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.710 | $93.5 | +$22.5 |
 Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.930 | $92.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | No | 100 | $0.740 | $89.5 | +$15.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 118.01 | $0.610 | $84.38 | +$12.39 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 423.74 | $0.590 | $82.63 | -$167.38 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 100 | $0.830 | $80.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 106.2 | $0.630 | $68.5 | +$1.59 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 80 | $0.600 | $50 | +$2 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | No | 84.01 | $0.602 | $47.47 | -$3.09 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500? | No | 50 | $0.700 | $40.25 | +$5.25 |
| buy |
| 22.88 |
| $0.580 |
| $13.27 |
| 18h ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 61.13 | $0.610 | $37.29 | 18h ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?No | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | 2d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 328.11 | $0.722 | $236.97 | 5d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 206.46 | $0.130 | $26.84 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 278 | $0.190 | $52.72 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 206.46 | $0.160 | $33.03 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 339.99 | $0.189 | $64.3 | 6d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 599.99 | $0.510 | $305.99 | 11d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 98 | $0.530 | $51.94 | 12d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.660 | $132 | 14d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | 17d ago |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.600 | $48 | 17d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 467.74 | $0.280 | $130.97 | 19d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 140 | $0.710 | $99.4 | 22d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 365 | $0.480 | $175.2 | 24d ago |
 Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | sell | 37.28 | $0.999 | $37.24 | 26d ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No | buy | 37.28 | $0.988 | $36.83 | 26d ago |
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.959 | $21.1 | 26d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 15?Yes | buy | 821.36 | $0.440 | $361.4 | 27d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | sell | 500 | $0.572 | $285.78 | 27d ago |
 Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No | sell | 415.21 | $0.999 | $414.79 | 28d ago |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 106.2 | $0.630 | $66.91 | 28d ago |
| Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?No | buy | 415.21 | $0.740 | $307.26 | 29d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 63.49 | $0.820 | $52.06 | 29d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 29.8 | $0.820 | $24.44 | 29d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 99.69 | $0.819 | $81.67 | 29d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 423.73 | $0.590 | $250 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.630 | $126 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes | buy | 340.91 | $0.880 | $300 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.860 | $171.99 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 35.2 | $0.890 | $31.33 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.670 | $100.5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.810 | $162 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.640 | $384 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.620 | $7.44 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 39.93 | $0.620 | $24.76 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.610 | $9.15 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 128.33 | $0.390 | $50 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 37.64 | $0.382 | $14.39 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.400 | $80 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | buy | 285.96 | $0.530 | $151.56 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.690 | $138 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 172.98 | $0.002 | $0.35 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 27.98 | $0.679 | $19 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.973 | $194.6 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 24, 2026?No | buy | 5.83 | $0.970 | $5.66 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?No | sell | 400 | $0.999 | $399.6 | Jul 18, 2026 |