Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 38.89 | $0.708 | $27.61 | +$0.08 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.720 | $1.5 | 4h ago |
|
| No |
| 13.59 |
| $0.773 |
| $10.94 |
| +$0.44 |
 Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 11.66 | $0.930 | $10.55 | -$0.29 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | Yes | 27.27 | $0.440 | $9.95 | -$2.05 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? | Yes | 20.76 | $0.644 | $9.45 | -$3.92 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 9.46 | $0.686 | $8.18 | +$1.69 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 6.99 | $0.785 | $6.33 | +$0.84 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 6.95 | $0.770 | $5.94 | +$0.59 |
 Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 22.87 | $0.262 | $5.6 | -$0.4 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 4.89 | $0.920 | $4.5 | +$0 |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | No | 4.61 | $0.977 | $4.33 | -$0.17 |
 Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.39 | $0.885 | $3.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.13 | $0.960 | $3.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | No | 3.39 | $0.885 | $3.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | No | 4.14 | $0.725 | $3 | +$0 |
 Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.09 | $0.972 | $3 | -$0 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 2.95 | $0.510 | $2.34 | +$0.84 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 15.79 | $0.190 | $2.13 | -$0.87 |
 Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.12 | $0.940 | $2.02 | +$0.03 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 1.83 | $0.820 | $1.79 | +$0.29 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | No | 1.76 | $0.850 | $1.68 | +$0.18 |
 Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.24 | $0.670 | $1.67 | +$0.17 |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 1.79 | $0.840 | $1.61 | +$0.11 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%? | No | 1.67 | $0.900 | $1.6 | +$0.1 |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? | No | 1.73 | $0.869 | $1.58 | +$0.08 |
| buy |
| 2.05 |
| $0.730 |
| $1.5 |
| 6h ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.975 | $1.5 | 6h ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.986 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.870 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?Yes | buy | 4.7 | $0.319 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.900 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.970 | $1.5 | 1d ago |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.977 | $1.5 | 2d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.994 | $1.5 | 2d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.24 | $0.670 | $1.5 | 3d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.440 | $1.5 | 3d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.440 | $1.5 | 3d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.440 | $1.5 | 3d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.440 | $1.5 | 3d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.440 | $1.5 | 3d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.440 | $1.5 | 3d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.440 | $1.5 | 3d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.440 | $1.5 | 3d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Yes | buy | 1.99 | $0.754 | $1.5 | 3d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.62 | $0.926 | $1.5 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.08 | $0.720 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.950 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.900 | $2.43 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.5 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.11 | $0.710 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.53 | $0.919 | $7.84 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.989 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.988 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.989 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.460 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?No | buy | 4.41 | $0.340 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.630 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.989 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.045 | $0.45 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.950 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.950 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.959 | $1.5 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.959 | $1.5 | 9d ago |