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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 71.63 | $0.620 | $51.93 | +$7.53 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 7.98 | $0.970 | $7.74 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 42.91 |
| $0.841 |
| $37.55 |
| +$1.45 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 16.61 | $0.858 | $15.37 | +$1.12 |
 Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | 12.28 | $0.910 | $11.05 | -$0.12 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 21.94 | $0.395 | $7.71 | -$0.96 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 10.35 | $0.674 | $2.43 | -$4.55 |
 Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 39.58 | $0.038 | $1.17 | -$0.34 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 7.54 | $0.176 | $0.55 | -$0.78 |
 Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 13.47 | $0.022 | $0.4 | +$0.11 |
 Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 32.44 | $0.016 | $0.05 | -$0.47 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 0.34 | $0.159 | $0.04 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 15.83 |
| $0.394 |
| $6.24 |
| Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 10.88 | $0.966 | $10.51 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 0.91 | $0.968 | $0.88 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.968 | $0.08 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 0.48 | $0.968 | $0.46 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 9.8 | $0.956 | $9.37 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.840 | $4.26 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 14.15 | $0.870 | $12.31 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 7.71 | $0.870 | $6.71 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 12.64 | $0.860 | $10.87 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.860 | $11.46 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.840 | $5.06 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.955 | $4.87 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.850 | $5.19 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | sell | 7.86 | $0.860 | $6.76 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 8.73 | $0.860 | $7.51 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.46 | $0.930 | $7.87 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?No | buy | 5.19 | $0.880 | $4.57 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 8.68 | $0.900 | $7.81 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 7.86 | $0.860 | $6.76 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 0.96 | $0.910 | $0.87 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.926 | $4.63 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.07 | $0.925 | $6.54 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?No | sell | 5.34 | $0.961 | $5.13 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.79 | $0.925 | $7.21 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?No | buy | 6.6 | $0.860 | $5.68 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.925 | $9.25 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.17 | $0.930 | $6.67 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.5 | $0.924 | $8.78 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | buy | 9.07 | $0.930 | $8.44 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?No | sell | 5.94 | $0.940 | $5.58 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.8 | $0.916 | $8.98 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.969 | $4.85 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 5.18 | $0.989 | $5.12 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?No | sell | 6.5 | $0.986 | $6.41 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes | sell | 5.1 | $0.730 | $3.72 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No | sell | 7.3 | $0.997 | $7.28 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 41.9 | $0.182 | $7.63 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 57.8 | $0.182 | $10.52 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.65 | $0.991 | $5.6 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 5.24 | $0.969 | $5.08 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No | sell | 9.12 | $0.996 | $9.08 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No | sell | 7.9 | $0.994 | $7.85 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 92.71 | $0.019 | $1.76 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 14.24 | $0.949 | $13.51 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 14.24 | $0.949 | $13.51 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election?No | sell | 8.57 | $0.989 | $8.48 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?No | buy | 8.37 | $0.970 | $8.12 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 20.59 | $0.180 | $3.71 | Mar 14, 2026 |