Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?No | buy | 88.55 | $0.780 | $69.07 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 25 |
| $0.240 |
| $6 |
| Jan 8, 2025 |
 Election certified on January 6?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.960 | $60 | Jan 5, 2025 |
 Another Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.079 | $0.79 | Dec 22, 2024 |
 Will House and Senate pass funding bill by midnight?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 50 | $0.310 | $15.48 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 61.8 | $0.809 | $50 | Dec 20, 2024 |
 Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?No | buy | 49.32 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Dec 20, 2024 |
| Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?No | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.615 | $122.99 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?No | buy | 100 | $0.722 | $72.2 | Dec 16, 2024 |
 Fact check: Did Luigi Mangione use 3D printed gun?No | buy | 20 | $0.130 | $2.6 | Dec 9, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 50 | $0.460 | $23 | Dec 9, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | sell | 211.99 | $0.730 | $154.75 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.700 | $35 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Assad leaves Syria before 2025?No | sell | 50 | $0.440 | $22 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.440 | $22 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.007 | $1.05 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Assad leaves Syria before 2025?No | buy | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?No | buy | 30 | $0.730 | $21.9 | Dec 4, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.470 | $23.5 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.250 | $6.25 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?No | buy | 50 | $0.074 | $3.7 | Dec 2, 2024 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.924 | $23.1 | Nov 17, 2024 |
 Will Jake Paul knockout Mike Tyson?No | buy | 15 | $0.710 | $10.65 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 7.64 | $0.323 | $2.47 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 25 | $0.380 | $9.5 | Oct 31, 2024 |
 Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.115 | $2.88 | Oct 30, 2024 |
 US bank failure before December?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.380 | $3.8 | Oct 24, 2024 |
 Who will go on Rogan first?Kamala | sell | 20 | $0.030 | $0.6 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 280.11 | $0.357 | $100 | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Who will go on Rogan first?Kamala | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Who will Nate Silver predict to win the election?Trump | sell | 2.32 | $0.630 | $1.46 | Oct 19, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iraq before November?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.230 | $1.84 | Oct 17, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Black men" during Fox News interview?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Oct 16, 2024 |
 Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Oct 15, 2024 |
| Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?No | sell | 4.59 | $0.757 | $3.47 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?No | sell | 100 | $0.039 | $3.95 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Israel military response against Iran in October?No | buy | 14.65 | $0.273 | $4 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?No | sell | 35 | $0.250 | $8.75 | Oct 14, 2024 |
 Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?No | buy | 30 | $0.170 | $5.1 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | buy | 18.05 | $0.140 | $2.53 | Oct 13, 2024 |
 Will Israeli troops enter Bint Jbeil by October 15?Yes | sell | 54.35 | $0.120 | $6.52 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.230 | $0.51 | Oct 13, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Oct 12, 2024 |
 Will Israel strike Iran on Sunday?Yes | sell | 18.56 | $0.075 | $1.39 | Oct 12, 2024 |
 Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass?No | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Oct 12, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10.94 | $0.457 | $5 | Oct 11, 2024 |