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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 2.31 | $0.650 | $1.74 | +$0.24 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.31 | $0.650 | $1.5 | 2d ago |
 |
| sell |
| 5.52 |
| $0.849 |
| $4.69 |
| 2d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.84 | $0.815 | $1.5 | 13d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.84 | $0.815 | $1.5 | 13d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.84 | $0.815 | $1.5 | 13d ago |
 Iran leadership change by August 31?No | sell | 1.64 | $0.996 | $1.63 | 13d ago |
 Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?No | sell | 1.58 | $0.999 | $1.58 | 13d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | sell | 1.68 | $0.890 | $1.5 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.8–1%?No | buy | 1.58 | $0.980 | $1.55 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.890 | $1.5 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Yes | sell | 3.26 | $0.979 | $3.19 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?Yes | buy | 3.26 | $0.720 | $2.35 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.982 | $1.58 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by August 31?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.910 | $1.5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes | sell | 2.21 | $0.700 | $1.55 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes | buy | 2.21 | $0.680 | $1.5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.640 | $1.52 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.630 | $1.5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.710 | $1.48 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.720 | $1.5 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes | buy | 1.51 | $0.993 | $1.5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 1.88 | $0.810 | $1.52 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 1.88 | $0.800 | $1.5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 1.87 | $0.790 | $1.48 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 1.88 | $0.800 | $1.5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.930 | $1.5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?Yes | buy | 4.22 | $0.994 | $4.19 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | sell | 4.95 | $0.850 | $4.21 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | sell | 83.38 | $0.002 | $0.17 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.95 | $0.880 | $4.36 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | sell | 14.81 | $0.310 | $4.59 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | buy | 83.39 | $0.058 | $4.84 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No | sell | 4.9 | $0.986 | $4.83 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No | buy | 4.9 | $0.998 | $4.89 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No | sell | 4.93 | $0.989 | $4.88 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?No | buy | 4.93 | $0.991 | $4.89 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?Yes | buy | 14.82 | $0.330 | $4.89 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | buy | 5.96 | $0.820 | $4.89 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?Yes | buy | 4.99 | $0.980 | $4.89 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Dota 2: ZEDI Esports vs GamerLegion (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group AZEDI Esports | buy | 18.81 | $0.260 | $4.89 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?Yes | buy | 5.2 | $0.940 | $4.89 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 5.82 | $0.840 | $4.89 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No | buy | 5.75 | $0.850 | $4.89 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes | sell | 6.61 | $0.240 | $1.59 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.5 | $0.969 | $11.14 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Yes | sell | 52.67 | $0.120 | $6.32 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.98 | $0.917 | $10.07 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?Yes | sell | 2.4 | $0.978 | $2.35 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.988 | $2.38 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.890 | $9.78 | Jun 26, 2026 |