Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 326.08 | $0.210 | $68.48 | May 29, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 326.09 |
| $0.230 |
| $75 |
| May 29, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | May 29, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Yes | sell | 640.74 | $0.131 | $83.99 | May 29, 2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Yes | buy | 640.75 | $0.156 | $100 | May 29, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Yes | sell | 133.03 | $0.240 | $31.93 | May 28, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?Yes | buy | 133.04 | $0.301 | $40 | May 28, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 271.31 | $0.126 | $34.31 | May 28, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 271.32 | $0.129 | $35 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?No | sell | 189.18 | $0.961 | $181.84 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?No | buy | 189.19 | $0.132 | $25 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24?Yes | buy | 69.44 | $0.360 | $25 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes | sell | 68.45 | $0.709 | $48.52 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes | buy | 68.45 | $0.730 | $50 | May 23, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 62 | $0.470 | $29.14 | May 23, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No | sell | 103.4 | $0.398 | $41.14 | May 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 62 | $0.467 | $28.96 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No | buy | 80.68 | $0.434 | $35 | May 22, 2026 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Yes | sell | 183.48 | $0.083 | $15.2 | May 20, 2026 |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Yes | buy | 183.49 | $0.109 | $20 | May 20, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETUp | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp | sell | 9.25 | $0.440 | $4.07 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETUp | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown | buy | 8.23 | $0.608 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETDown | sell | 2.1 | $0.950 | $1.99 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETDown | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETDown | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | sell | 51.28 | $0.360 | $18.46 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | May 14, 2026 |
 UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)Sean Strickland | buy | 75 | $0.200 | $15 | May 10, 2026 |
| Will the fight be won by submission?Yes | sell | 94.33 | $0.470 | $44.34 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will the fight be won by submission?Yes | buy | 94.34 | $0.530 | $50 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.999 | $62.44 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.240 | $15 | May 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 239.78 | $0.585 | $140.28 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 239.78 | $0.626 | $150 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 332.5 | $0.790 | $262.68 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 203.49 | $0.610 | $124.13 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 332.51 | $0.752 | $250 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 203.49 | $0.737 | $150 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 385.47 | $0.428 | $165.14 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 385.47 | $0.649 | $250 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 86.6 | $0.614 | $53.2 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 86.6 | $0.577 | $50 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 107.01 | $0.378 | $40.4 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 107.02 | $0.467 | $50 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 100.14 | $0.600 | $60.08 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?Yes | sell | 53.41 | $0.292 | $15.6 | Apr 19, 2026 |