Analytics
Allow Google Analytics cookies to measure visits, navigation, completed signups and checkout starts on our website and app? Analytics identifiers last up to 180 days. Account details, searches, wallet addresses and payment details are excluded. Your choice is optional and you can change it anytime.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 186.44 | $0.590 | $145.42 | +$35.42 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.440 | $0.04 | 1h ago |
|
| No |
| 121.08 |
| $0.826 |
| $104.73 |
| +$4.73 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 81.16 | $0.370 | $66.96 | +$36.96 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 25.64 | $0.780 | $22.44 | +$2.44 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 16.29 | $0.614 | $13.62 | +$3.62 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 15.18 | $0.658 | $13.59 | +$3.59 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | No | 11.9 | $0.840 | $11.07 | +$1.07 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 11.63 | $0.860 | $11.05 | +$1.05 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10.54 | +$0.54 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | 10.19 | $0.981 | $10.04 | +$0.04 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 380.22 | $0.079 | $9.7 | -$20.3 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.7 | $0.573 | $9.07 | +$3.51 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 78.67 | $0.381 | $8.26 | -$21.74 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 62.51 | $0.160 | $7.81 | -$2.19 |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026? | Yes | 7.22 | $0.947 | $6.75 | -$0.08 |
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | Yes | 95.03 | $0.210 | $6.65 | -$13.35 |
 Weed rescheduled by December 31? | Yes | 26.92 | $0.358 | $4.29 | -$5.34 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 4.11 | $0.610 | $3.51 | +$1.01 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $2.09 | -$7.91 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 247.37 | $0.040 | $1.61 | -$8.39 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 34.24 | $0.059 | $0.98 | -$1.06 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 0.61 | $0.510 | $0.27 | -$0.04 |
| sell |
| 0.1 |
| $0.440 |
| $0.04 |
| 2h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 0.27 | $0.440 | $0.12 | 2h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 0.08 | $0.440 | $0.04 | 2h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 0.53 | $0.440 | $0.23 | 2h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | 3h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 5.27 | $0.440 | $2.32 | 3h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.430 | $2.26 | 3h ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 7.41 | $0.430 | $3.19 | 4h ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | 22d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | 22d ago |
 NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 74.9 | $0.300 | $22.48 | 22d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 0.48 | $0.420 | $0.2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.040 | $0.01 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.62 | $0.039 | $0.06 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.34 | $0.040 | $0.13 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.19 | $0.040 | $0.09 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.027 | $0.03 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 74.91 | $0.133 | $10 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 0.91 | $0.330 | $0.3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.52 | $0.060 | $0.45 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.150 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 10.66 | $0.938 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 16.29 | $0.614 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 247.37 | $0.040 | $10 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.46 | $0.225 | $0.33 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.225 | $0 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.26 | $0.225 | $0.06 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.09 | $0.225 | $0.02 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.225 | $0 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.225 | $0 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.225 | $0 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.225 | $0.08 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.05 | $0.225 | $0.01 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.26 | $0.225 | $0.06 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.225 | $0.01 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.225 | $0 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.225 | $0 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.225 | $0.01 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.82 | $0.225 | $0.41 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.49 | $0.227 | $0.34 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.227 | $0.3 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.12 | $0.227 | $0.03 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.810 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.41 | $0.002 | $0 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.41 | $0.002 | $0 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.01 | $0.002 | $0 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 13.09 | $0.764 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.08 | $0.219 | $0.46 | Jul 14, 2026 |