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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.690 | $55.2 | 3d ago |
|
| buy |
| 197.78 |
| $0.680 |
| $134.49 |
| 3d ago |
| GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | 3d ago |
 Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 52.86 | $0.510 | $26.96 | 9d ago |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | 10d ago |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 130 | $0.540 | $70.2 | 10d ago |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 81.22 | $0.540 | $43.86 | 10d ago |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 216 | $0.570 | $123.12 | 11d ago |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | 12d ago |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | 12d ago |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 50 | $0.570 | $28.5 | 12d ago |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 49.38 | $0.570 | $28.15 | 12d ago |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 73.3 | $0.560 | $41.05 | 12d ago |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 112 | $0.440 | $49.28 | 15d ago |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 40 | $0.490 | $19.6 | 16d ago |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 50 | $0.540 | $27 | 17d ago |
| Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No | buy | 190 | $0.540 | $102.6 | 17d ago |
 Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | 21d ago |
| Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | 21d ago |
| Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | 21d ago |
| Will there be 3 or more North Korea tests in August 2026?Yes | buy | 510 | $0.730 | $372.3 | 21d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | sell | 57 | $0.860 | $49.02 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes | buy | 57 | $0.670 | $38.19 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 88.22 | $0.250 | $22.06 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.500 | $30 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.773 | $38.65 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.742 | $74.2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes | buy | 209.1 | $0.006 | $1.25 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes | buy | 65.45 | $0.019 | $1.24 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes | buy | 50.37 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes | buy | 59.43 | $0.017 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes | buy | 70.79 | $0.014 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.099 | $2.08 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes | buy | 16.66 | $0.100 | $1.67 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes | buy | 319.74 | $0.106 | $33.89 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.105 | $15.75 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.103 | $3.62 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?Yes | buy | 24.3 | $0.099 | $2.41 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN - Map 2 WinnerNIP | buy | 85 | $0.562 | $47.8 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | buy | 143.91 | $0.550 | $79.15 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.6 | $0.540 | $3.56 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.540 | $59.4 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?Yes | buy | 155 | $0.530 | $82.15 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | buy | 129.25 | $0.014 | $1.79 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerLiquid | sell | 183.54 | $0.999 | $183.36 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierLiquid | sell | 227.55 | $0.999 | $227.32 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerLiquid | buy | 42.86 | $0.700 | $30 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierLiquid | buy | 227.56 | $0.879 | $200 | Jul 25, 2026 |