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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2.4K | $0.935 | $2.31K | +$63.6 |
 Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 891.24 |
| $0.310 |
| $530.29 |
| +$254 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | Yes | 120 | $0.430 | $37.8 | -$13.8 |
| buy |
| 2.22K |
| $0.009 |
| $20 |
| Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 466.4 | $0.043 | $20 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.620 | $100 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?Yes | buy | 81.08 | $0.370 | $30 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.130 | $50 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 530 | $0.073 | $38.93 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 425.53 | $0.940 | $400 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 609.76 | $0.820 | $500 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.660 | $110 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 169.49 | $0.590 | $100 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 336.55 | $0.480 | $161.54 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.080 | $100 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.070 | $25 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 20K | $0.034 | $678.13 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.950 | $950 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 800 | $0.870 | $696 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.608 | $972.76 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.821 | $985.2 | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.720 | $1.01K | May 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.720 | $1.01K | May 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.4K | $0.170 | $237.99 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 29?No | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 11?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.305 | $30.5 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | sell | 0.1 | $0.710 | $0.07 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.974 | $1.08 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?No | buy | 770.39 | $0.700 | $539.27 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 37.1K | $0.040 | $1.5K | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 37.1K | $0.041 | $1.51K | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 24.73K | $0.045 | $1.12K | Feb 21, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 124.64 | $0.802 | $100 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETUp | buy | 38.75 | $0.500 | $19.38 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETUp | buy | 27.09 | $0.723 | $19.6 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.560 | $224 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 9.49K | $0.070 | $664.09 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.930 | $1.86K | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 86.15 | $0.680 | $58.58 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETUp | sell | 27.77 | $0.300 | $8.33 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 28.55 | $0.684 | $19.53 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETUp | sell | 39.34 | $0.051 | $2.02 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETUp | buy | 38.72 | $0.500 | $19.38 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 38.28 | $0.506 | $19.38 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETDown | buy | 189.96 | $0.510 | $96.88 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETDown | sell | 38.6 | $0.890 | $34.35 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETDown | buy | 37.99 | $0.510 | $19.38 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETDown | buy | 42.65 | $0.240 | $10.24 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETDown | sell | 39.37 | $0.830 | $32.68 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETDown | buy | 38.75 | $0.500 | $19.38 | Feb 13, 2026 |