Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 274.99 | $0.332 | $224.12 | +$132.87 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | buy | 5.96 | $0.460 | $2.74 | 7h ago |
 |
| No |
| 246.89 |
| $0.577 |
| $211.09 |
| +$68.56 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 78.46 | $0.637 | $77.21 | +$27.21 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 75.46 | $0.793 | $70.56 | +$10.72 |
 Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | Yes | 55.44 | $0.630 | $30.22 | -$4.71 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 37.07 | $0.647 | $23.91 | -$0.08 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 24.08 | $0.861 | $18.42 | -$2.31 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 24.19 | $0.620 | $14.88 | -$0.12 |
 Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? | No | 24.46 | $0.460 | $13.7 | +$2.45 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 13.14 | $0.837 | $12.28 | +$1.28 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 25.56 | $0.253 | $10.56 | +$4.08 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 7.19 | $0.808 | $6.8 | +$0.99 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 6.66 | $0.870 | $6.09 | +$0.3 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 6.53 | $0.870 | $5.71 | +$0.03 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 6.38 | $0.940 | $5.65 | -$0.35 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | No | 5.87 | $0.904 | $5.63 | +$0.33 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 5.88 | $0.904 | $5.5 | +$0.18 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5.45 | +$0.45 |
| Will Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.88 | $0.850 | $4.94 | -$0.06 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 4.62 | $0.870 | $4.27 | +$0.25 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | No | 4.67 | $0.750 | $3.9 | +$0.4 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | No | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3.19 | +$0.19 |
 Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 3.67 | $0.810 | $3.06 | +$0.09 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2.87 | +$0.87 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | No | 5.96 | $0.460 | $2.62 | -$0.12 |
| buy |
| 5.88 |
| $0.850 |
| $5 |
| 7h ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 24.19 | $0.620 | $15 | 7h ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No | buy | 6.53 | $0.870 | $5.68 | 7h ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | 7h ago |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.860 | $5.17 | 18h ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 2.32K | $0.001 | $2.32 | 8d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.974 | $2.44 | 8d ago |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 3.67 | $0.810 | $2.97 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No | buy | 3.26 | $0.920 | $3 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.14 | $0.369 | $4.48 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 73.52 | $0.230 | $16.91 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.420 | $1.69 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | 8d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.590 | $3.99 | 9d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.870 | $4.02 | 9d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 6.38 | $0.940 | $6 | 9d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 10.97 | $0.720 | $7.9 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?No | buy | 6.75 | $0.440 | $2.97 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | buy | 6.66 | $0.870 | $5.79 | 9d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.973 | $5 | 9d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.47 | $0.530 | $3.43 | 18d ago |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 3.65 | $0.961 | $3.51 | 18d ago |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | buy | 27.34 | $0.760 | $20.78 | 19d ago |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 21.48 | $0.966 | $20.75 | 20d ago |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | buy | 5.69 | $0.720 | $4.1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | buy | 4.67 | $0.750 | $3.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.660 | $1.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 9.5 | $0.966 | $9.18 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 10.5 | $0.500 | $5.25 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.42 | $0.149 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 8.02 | $0.910 | $7.3 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.440 | $1.36 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.960 | $1.34 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 3.61 | $0.920 | $3.32 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | sell | 3.4 | $0.976 | $3.32 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | buy | 38.81 | $0.620 | $24.06 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | buy | 19.35 | $0.620 | $12 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 4.3 | $0.930 | $4 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15?No | buy | 8.6 | $0.580 | $4.99 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?No | sell | 8.15 | $0.620 | $5.05 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 28.03 | $0.900 | $25.23 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?No | buy | 47.17 | $0.530 | $25 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Jul 22, 2026 |