Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 107.14 | $0.961 | $102.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 185.19 |
| $0.270 |
| $50 |
| Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 19, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.016 | $1.6 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 107.14 | $0.560 | $60 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 882.35 | $0.340 | $300 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.200 | $120 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 57.69 | $0.520 | $30 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.410 | $20.5 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.008 | $1.6 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.008 | $1.04 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before July?No | sell | 0.3 | $0.965 | $0.29 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before July?Yes | sell | 8.64 | $0.032 | $0.28 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 0.32 | $0.430 | $0.14 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit in June?Yes | sell | 0.64 | $0.270 | $0.17 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 813.51 | $0.037 | $30 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 2.21K | $0.045 | $100 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.030 | $59.94 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 6.93K | $0.117 | $812 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit in June?Yes | sell | 1.02K | $0.130 | $132.22 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit in June?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.156 | $77.8 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 478 | $0.257 | $122.99 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?Yes | sell | 4K | $0.207 | $828.82 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 680 | $0.402 | $273.36 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.453 | $452.85 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.452 | $226 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.124 | $0.62 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.643 | $643.47 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.655 | $654.89 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.400 | $50 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?Yes | buy | 295.3 | $0.149 | $44 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 99.19 | $0.702 | $69.63 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.190 | $76 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.200 | $80 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 5.56K | $0.018 | $100 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 290.24 | $0.207 | $60 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.300 | $100 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 5.56K | $0.018 | $100 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?Yes | buy | 167.36 | $0.084 | $14 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.120 | $12 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.596 | $119.2 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.120 | $60 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.120 | $10.32 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.110 | $116 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.130 | $26.03 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Iran strike Gulf oil facilities before July?Yes | buy | 617.36 | $0.162 | $100 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Trump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?Yes | sell | 150 | $0.190 | $28.5 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 613.5 | $0.163 | $100 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.229 | $250 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 855.65 | $0.292 | $250 | Jun 15, 2025 |