Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 661.9 | $0.499 | $294.54 | -$35.81 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 163.48 | $0.496 | $81.14 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 357.14 |
| $0.227 |
| $81.14 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 498.42 | $0.500 | $249.21 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.311 | $103.67 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 166.66 | $0.550 | $91.66 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: JanuaryYes | buy | 86.21 | $0.290 | $25 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 227.27 | $0.110 | $25 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.88 | $0.560 | $30.17 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 123.89 | $0.404 | $50 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.220 | $50 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.150 | $50 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.300 | $50 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 110.74 | $0.940 | $104.1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No | buy | 104.1 | $0.940 | $97.85 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | buy | 97.86 | $0.700 | $68.5 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 90.07 | $0.610 | $54.94 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 128.58 | $0.450 | $57.86 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 79.37 | $0.630 | $50 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 68.49 | $0.730 | $50 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?No | buy | 54.95 | $0.910 | $50 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 207.86 | $0.940 | $195.39 | Oct 30, 2025 |