Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?No | sell | 309.77 | $0.750 | $232.33 | Apr 28, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 500 |
| $0.930 |
| $465 |
| Apr 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.940 | $9.4 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $163.99 | Apr 21, 2025 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?No | buy | 150 | $0.810 | $121.5 | Apr 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?No | sell | 300 | $0.954 | $286.11 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Liberals win majority in Canadian election?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.540 | $13.5 | Apr 20, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?Yes | sell | 275 | $0.491 | $135.15 | Apr 20, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.392 | $9.79 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.360 | $90 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.380 | $11.4 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?No | buy | 300 | $0.881 | $264.37 | Apr 18, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?No | buy | 100 | $0.720 | $72 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?No | buy | 184 | $0.720 | $132.48 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?No | buy | 207.05 | $0.710 | $147.01 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 15-21?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?No | buy | 25 | $0.710 | $17.75 | Apr 18, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?No | buy | 5 | $0.680 | $3.4 | Apr 17, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.991 | $19.82 | Apr 17, 2025 |
| Liberals win majority in Canadian election?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.620 | $15.5 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Yunakivka before June?No | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | Apr 16, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by April 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.840 | $4.2 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will another party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?Yes | sell | 324.65 | $0.001 | $0.32 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will the Green Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?Yes | sell | 324.65 | $0.001 | $0.32 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?Yes | sell | 324.65 | $0.029 | $9.41 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canadian Election?No | buy | 324.65 | $0.943 | $306.14 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?No | sell | 825 | $0.965 | $796.22 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?No | buy | 25 | $0.969 | $24.22 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?No | buy | 50 | $0.969 | $48.45 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?No | buy | 20 | $0.969 | $19.38 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?No | buy | 20 | $0.969 | $19.38 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?No | buy | 10 | $0.969 | $9.69 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?No | buy | 400 | $0.969 | $387.6 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Putin visit the U.S. before July?No | buy | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | Apr 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?Yes | sell | 323.5 | $0.999 | $323.18 | Apr 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?Yes | buy | 323.5 | $0.996 | $322.21 | Apr 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Bukele visit on April 14?Yes | buy | 2.24 | $0.998 | $2.24 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Bukele visit on April 14?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Bukele visit on April 14?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.987 | $19.74 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" during Bukele visit on April 14?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Apr 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" during Bukele visit on April 14?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.790 | $10.27 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" 3+ times during Bukele visit on April 14?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.520 | $13 | Apr 13, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Bukele visit on April 14?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.370 | $46.25 | Apr 13, 2025 |