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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 5.07 | $0.987 | $5 | May 10, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 3.09 |
| $0.970 |
| $3 |
| May 10, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.993 | $4 | Apr 20, 2026 |
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?Yes | buy | 6.63 | $0.950 | $6.29 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 18?Yes | buy | 4.02 | $0.995 | $4 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will RadarScope be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?No | buy | 3.56 | $0.999 | $3.56 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 16 - March 22 be between 19,000,000 and 19,500,000?No | buy | 4.77 | $0.980 | $4.67 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 February 23-March 1?No | buy | 6.15 | $0.975 | $6 | Feb 24, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.970 | $5.2 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?Yes | buy | 13.19 | $0.480 | $6.33 | Feb 14, 2026 |
Will Grok 4.20 be released before February 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.77 | $0.988 | $5.7 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will DtMF by Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 21?Yes | buy | 4.21 | $0.989 | $4.16 | Feb 12, 2026 |
Will Hyperliquid hit $38 in January?No | buy | 9 | $0.969 | $8.72 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?No | buy | 22.21 | $0.675 | $15 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | buy | 103 | $0.736 | $75.81 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?No | sell | 100.5 | $0.997 | $100.2 | Nov 10, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get 120 million or more views on week 1?No | buy | 7.12 | $0.983 | $7 | Nov 6, 2025 |
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?No | buy | 100.5 | $0.995 | $100 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 November 3-9?No | buy | 6.04 | $0.994 | $6 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120k November 3-9?No | buy | 8.04 | $0.995 | $8 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will Solana reach $300 in November?No | buy | 9.07 | $0.992 | $9 | Nov 5, 2025 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 42.5% and 42.9% on October 10?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.992 | $4 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.960 | $3.6 | Oct 10, 2025 |
MicroStrategy announces >4000 BTC purchase October 7-13?No | buy | 3.16 | $0.948 | $3 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Heather Humphreys win by 15–20%?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.993 | $2.45 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?No | buy | 4.87 | $0.982 | $4.78 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Trump visit Israel by October 15?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.986 | $3 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.977 | $3 | Oct 10, 2025 |
HasanAbi arrested by October 31?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.981 | $3 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-27?Yes | buy | 9.4 | $0.530 | $4.98 | Sep 27, 2025 |
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.968 | $5 | Sep 27, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.2 | $0.976 | $2.15 | Sep 27, 2025 |
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model this year?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | Sep 27, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced by September 30?No | buy | 5.14 | $0.954 | $4.9 | Sep 27, 2025 |
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by September 30?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.980 | $5 | Sep 27, 2025 |
Kilmar Abrego Garcia deported by September 30?No | buy | 7.29 | $0.960 | $7 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by September 30?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.960 | $6 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Trump x Modi talk by September 5?No | buy | 6.4 | $0.991 | $6.34 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Congress extends Trump's DC takeover?No | buy | 6.03 | $0.995 | $6 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in August 2025?No | sell | 7.92 | $0.077 | $0.61 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in August 2025?No | buy | 7.93 | $0.940 | $7.45 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 8?No | buy | 5.77 | $0.983 | $5.67 | Aug 5, 2025 |
India x Pakistan military clash by Friday?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.989 | $7.43 | Aug 5, 2025 |
India strike on Pakistan by August 31?No | buy | 6.19 | $0.970 | $6 | Aug 5, 2025 |
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base before August?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.981 | $5.32 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will Iranian officials visit the White House before August?No | buy | 6.44 | $0.950 | $6.12 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will Michael Bloomberg announce NYC mayoral run before August?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.992 | $5 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Israeli parliament dissolved before August?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.970 | $5 | Jul 6, 2025 |