Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.720 | $98.75 | +$26.75 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 28?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.919 | $82.71 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 30 |
| $0.870 |
| $28.85 |
| +$2.75 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 593.57 | $0.165 | $0.89 | -$97.01 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.110 |
| $1.1 |
| Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 125 | $0.996 | $124.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.900 | $36 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?No | buy | 41.15 | $0.972 | $40 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 32.79 | $0.610 | $20 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 158.25 | $0.063 | $10 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 111.27 | $0.059 | $6.56 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 102.67 | $0.974 | $100 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 427.27 | $0.290 | $123.91 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.220 | $20 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 49.47 | $0.202 | $10 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on June 20?No | buy | 119.3 | $0.838 | $100 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.250 | $40 | May 12, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before July?Yes | buy | 26.59 | $0.752 | $20 | May 12, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced before April?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?No | buy | 114.94 | $0.870 | $100 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 37.5 | $0.800 | $30 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.850 | $50 | Mar 3, 2025 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 103.45 | $0.290 | $30 | Jan 12, 2025 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 227.27 | $0.220 | $50 | Jan 12, 2025 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 119.05 | $0.840 | $100 | Jan 12, 2025 |
 Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Dec 13, 2024 |
| Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Dec 13, 2024 |
| Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?Yes | buy | 95.24 | $0.210 | $20 | Dec 13, 2024 |
| Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.210 | $5 | Dec 13, 2024 |
| Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Dec 13, 2024 |
| Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Trump wins every swing state?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.840 | $30 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2024?No | buy | 53.53 | $0.934 | $50 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 54.89 | $0.911 | $50 | Nov 1, 2024 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 51.6 | $0.969 | $50 | Nov 1, 2024 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 31.58 | $0.950 | $30 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Oct 1, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 96.15 | $0.416 | $40 | Sep 25, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 196.08 | $0.306 | $60 | Sep 25, 2024 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 6+ times in 2024?No | buy | 129.37 | $0.773 | $100 | Sep 25, 2024 |
 Next Ethereum hard fork live by end of 2024?No | buy | 21.12 | $0.947 | $20 | Sep 25, 2024 |
 Ethereum dips below $2,000 by Sept 30?No | buy | 20.2 | $0.990 | $20 | Sep 25, 2024 |
 Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$4000 | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Sep 25, 2024 |
| Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$4000 | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Sep 25, 2024 |