Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.36K |
| $0.110 |
| $150 |
| Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.15K | $0.081 | $500 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.066 | $100 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.066 | $110 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.015 | $50 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.58K | $0.012 | $100 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | sell | 2.4K | $0.420 | $1.01K | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.335 | $805 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 844.29 | $0.342 | $288.84 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.43K | $0.362 | $518.35 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.27K | $0.299 | $680 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.08K | $0.167 | $681.04 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.45K | $0.142 | $491 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 621.99 | $0.088 | $55 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 203.44 | $0.270 | $54.93 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 203.45 | $0.290 | $59 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | sell | 393.33 | $0.150 | $59 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | buy | 393.33 | $0.150 | $59 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?Yes | sell | 3.05K | $0.015 | $46.71 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes | sell | 1.72K | $0.008 | $14.3 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes | buy | 1.72K | $0.116 | $200 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | sell | 965.44 | $0.074 | $71.6 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 918.36 | $0.560 | $514.48 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 2.05K | $0.998 | $2.04K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.679 | $1.39K | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 918.37 | $0.490 | $450 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?Yes | buy | 1.05K | $0.143 | $150 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.21K | $0.029 | $63.05 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.050 | $100 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 965.45 | $0.119 | $115 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.21K | $0.057 | $125 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | sell | 2.29K | $0.990 | $2.27K | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | buy | 2.29K | $0.481 | $1.1K | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 120K | $0.001 | $120 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 150K | $0.001 | $150 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 100K | $0.001 | $100 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 20K | $0.001 | $20 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 38K | $0.001 | $38 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 100K | $0.001 | $100 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 100K | $0.001 | $100 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 50K | $0.001 | $50 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 65K | $0.001 | $65 | May 31, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 13.33K | $0.003 | $40 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No | buy | 10.21K | $0.003 | $30 | May 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.130 | $130.24 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.200 | $200 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?No | sell | 2.57K | $0.776 | $1.99K | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?No | buy | 2.57K | $0.130 | $333 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 496.96 | $0.670 | $332.96 | May 25, 2026 |