Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 AI data center in space by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 233.14 | $0.070 | $4.08 | -$12.24 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 41.72 | $0.407 | $17 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 |
| OpenAI |
| 90.91 |
| $0.110 |
| $3.32 |
| -$6.68 |
 Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? | Yes | 128.21 | $0.039 | $2.76 | -$2.24 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30? | Yes | 88.5 | $0.100 | $2.52 | -$6.33 |
 Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | No | 115.86 | $0.043 | $0.06 | -$4.94 |
| sell |
| 579.33 |
| $0.031 |
| $17.8 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes | buy | 88.5 | $0.100 | $8.85 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 56.11 | $0.089 | $5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.010 | $0.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before July 31, 2026?No | buy | 101.96 | $0.049 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?No | buy | 115.86 | $0.043 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | buy | 90.91 | $0.110 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 152.05 | $0.007 | $1 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Anthropic acquired before 2027?Yes | buy | 579.34 | $0.017 | $10 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.66 | $0.149 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes | sell | 663.58 | $0.002 | $1.16 | Jun 27, 2026 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.51 | $0.035 | $0.61 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 233.14 | $0.070 | $16.32 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 105.26 | $0.167 | $17.54 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.51 | $0.571 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 40.82 | $0.490 | $20 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 60.61 | $0.330 | $20 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 145.14 | $0.069 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.030 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 60.59 | $0.165 | $10 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | May 28, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes | buy | 123.46 | $0.081 | $10 | May 28, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes | buy | 123.46 | $0.081 | $10 | May 28, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | May 25, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.012 | $5 | May 25, 2026 |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | May 25, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETUp | buy | 499 | $0.010 | $4.99 | May 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETUp | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 125 | $0.040 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 80.7 | $0.062 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 364.63 | $0.069 | $25 | May 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.090 | $2.25 | May 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | May 24, 2026 |