Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 145.59 | $0.600 | $86.63 | -$0.73 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | sell | 81.39 | $0.930 | $75.69 | 22d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 3.51 |
| $0.854 |
| $3 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 81.4 | $0.860 | $70 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 5.94 | $0.880 | $5.23 | May 11, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No | buy | 7.21 | $0.940 | $6.78 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.20 in April?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.976 | $5.98 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $100 in April?No | buy | 5.35 | $0.980 | $5.24 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?No | buy | 6.51 | $0.990 | $6.44 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 28?Yes | buy | 7.05 | $0.993 | $7 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.992 | $6.98 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on February 10?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.989 | $7.43 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on February 10?No | buy | 6.13 | $0.978 | $6 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 36 | $0.946 | $34.06 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.960 | $11.52 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 27?No | buy | 3.48 | $0.990 | $3.45 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 27?No | buy | 2.46 | $0.974 | $2.4 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 266.44 | $0.160 | $42.63 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase November 4-10?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 123.66 | $0.920 | $113.77 | Nov 3, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 123.66 | $0.930 | $115 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 161.29 | $0.920 | $148.39 | Nov 2, 2025 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 161.29 | $0.930 | $150 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 139.78 | $0.920 | $128.6 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 5.92 | $0.996 | $5.9 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Choo Kyung-ho in jail by November 30?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 139.78 | $0.930 | $130 | Nov 1, 2025 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 21-27?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.992 | $3.1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?No | buy | 4.01 | $0.998 | $4 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Fuck" again by October 31?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.930 | $2.14 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.987 | $2 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.984 | $3.2 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 John Thune out as Senate Majority leader by October 31?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.988 | $2 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by October 31?No | buy | 4.21 | $0.950 | $4 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 44.5% on October 10?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.994 | $4 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will 'The Fate of Ophelia' be the highest ranked song from Taylor Swift’s new album on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Richardson Electronics (RELL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy announces >4000 BTC purchase October 7-13?No | buy | 3.07 | $0.978 | $3 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 7-13?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 17?No | buy | 3.24 | $0.996 | $3.23 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will “The Fate of Ophelia” have 1.5 Million Likes on Friday at Noon?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.980 | $2.76 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Chuck Schumer by October 10?No | buy | 2.83 | $0.860 | $2.43 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Trump x Modi talk by September 5?No | buy | 5.39 | $0.991 | $5.34 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Congress extends Trump's DC takeover?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.995 | $7 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?No | buy | 6.66 | $0.969 | $6.45 | Sep 4, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by August 31?No | buy | 6.32 | $0.950 | $6 | Aug 4, 2025 |