Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 55.51 | $0.540 | $28.59 | -$1.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Discord IPO before 2027?No | sell | 5.27 | $0.830 | $4.37 | 4d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 16.13 |
| $0.620 |
| $11.21 |
| +$1.21 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 57.02 | $0.210 | $9.64 | -$2.36 |
 Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.550 | $6.5 | +$1.5 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 12.63 | $0.396 | $6.25 | +$1.25 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 12.82 | $0.390 | $6.22 | +$1.22 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 7.36 | $0.679 | $6.18 | +$1.18 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 16.72 | $0.299 | $5.76 | +$0.76 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 39.37 | $0.127 | $5.22 | +$0.22 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | Yes | 10.87 | $0.460 | $4.57 | -$0.43 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 4.7 | $0.830 | $4.53 | +$0.63 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 24.1 | $0.083 | $4.43 | +$2.43 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 24.79 | $0.121 | $3.98 | +$0.98 |
 Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Yes | 11.63 | $0.430 | $3.78 | -$1.22 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 42.37 | $0.118 | $3.16 | -$1.84 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 3.23 | $0.620 | $3.07 | +$1.07 |
 Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | Yes | 8.6 | $0.581 | $2.75 | -$2.25 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 10 | $0.200 | $2.75 | +$0.75 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.09 | $0.393 | $2.6 | +$0.6 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10.64 | $0.188 | $2.52 | +$0.52 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 31.75 | $0.063 | $2.49 | +$0.49 |
 Deel IPO before 2027? | No | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2.33 | +$0.33 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | Yes | 15.15 | $0.330 | $2.2 | -$2.8 |
 Brex IPO before 2027? | No | 2.08 | $0.962 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 14.63 | $0.137 | $1.85 | -$0.15 |
| sell |
| 9.8 |
| $0.760 |
| $7.45 |
| 4d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | 4d ago |
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 44.64 | $0.560 | $25 | 26d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?No | sell | 44.68 | $0.210 | $9.38 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?No | sell | 35.18 | $0.260 | $9.15 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?No | buy | 21.96 | $0.228 | $5 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 39.37 | $0.127 | $5 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?No | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | buy | 17.45 | $0.287 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Nininho Vaz Maia attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | buy | 17.24 | $0.290 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 16.72 | $0.299 | $5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 42.37 | $0.118 | $5 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 61.89 | $0.052 | $3.22 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 24.79 | $0.121 | $3 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.95 | $0.202 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.37 | $0.422 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 38.82 | $0.980 | $38.05 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.430 | $5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.989 | $15.7 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 26.93 | $0.988 | $26.61 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 39.7 | $0.603 | $23.92 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.370 | $5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 138.89 | $0.036 | $5 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 9.25 | $0.580 | $5.36 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 12.13 | $0.412 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 17.36 | $0.288 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 20.84 | $0.101 | $2.1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETDown | buy | 8.91 | $0.224 | $2 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?Yes | buy | 8.6 | $0.581 | $5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jun 5, 2026 |