Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.18 | -$0.82 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.005 | $0.03 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 12.5 |
| $0.003 |
| $0.04 |
| Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.004 | $0.03 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Netanyahu out by 2025?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.004 | $0.03 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 8.8 | $0.004 | $0.04 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.004 | $0.04 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Macron out in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.003 | $0.04 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Assad leaves Russia before 2026?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.005 | $0.06 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.005 | $0.06 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will India invade Pakistan in 2025?Yes | sell | 25.64 | $0.003 | $0.08 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.003 | $0.05 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | sell | 24.21 | $0.003 | $0.07 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.010 | $0.07 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.006 | $0.09 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by December 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.003 | $0.06 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Abdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by December 31?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.008 | $0.06 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 China x India military clash by December 31?Yes | sell | 27.02 | $0.006 | $0.16 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.006 | $0.21 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.007 | $0.1 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.011 | $0.11 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Erdoğan out in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.008 | $0.11 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?Yes | sell | 19.6 | $0.004 | $0.08 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.011 | $0.12 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?Yes | sell | 15.87 | $0.007 | $0.11 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 124.42 | $0.008 | $1 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by November 30?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 14.49 | $0.070 | $1.01 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 151.86 | $0.001 | $0.15 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 128.75 | $0.001 | $0.13 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Iran Nuke in 2025?Yes | buy | 24.21 | $0.041 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by October 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| China x India military clash by December 31?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 26.52 | $0.038 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Oct 4, 2025 |
| Abdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on September 26?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on September 26?Yes | buy | 54.96 | $0.018 | $1 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on September 26?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.067 | $1 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Bull run: SeptemberYes | sell | 52.63 | $0.003 | $0.16 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Will India invade Pakistan in 2025?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Sep 22, 2025 |
| Abdul-Malik out as leader of Houthis by September 30?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 21, 2025 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Sep 21, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Sep 21, 2025 |