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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on November 1?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.995 | $1.21 | Nov 1, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 1.17 |
| $0.990 |
| $1.16 |
| Nov 1, 2025 |
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on November 1?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.999 | $1.09 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will the price of XRP be above $2.60 on November 1?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.999 | $1.13 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 1?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.989 | $1.17 | Nov 1, 2025 |
Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 36m?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.996 | $1.17 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 12?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.983 | $1.17 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Fraud waste and abuse" this week? (October 7 - 12)No | buy | 1.22 | $0.970 | $1.18 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on October 13?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.995 | $1.18 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will "Soul on Fire" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 3.5m?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.940 | $1.09 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 9?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.994 | $1.11 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on October 9?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.999 | $1.06 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on October 9?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.992 | $1.07 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 73-74°F on October 8?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.998 | $1.13 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be between 63-64°F on October 8?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.999 | $1.14 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Levi Strauss & Co. (LEVI) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.17 | $0.950 | $1.11 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.992 | $1.06 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.995 | $1.21 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 25?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.960 | $1.05 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Iran nuclear test in 2025?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.950 | $1.13 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 50-59 tweets from September 18 to September 19, 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.990 | $1.05 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in London be 83°F or higher on September 19?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.996 | $1.1 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 19?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.990 | $1.13 | Sep 19, 2025 |
Iran nuclear test in 2025?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.920 | $1.1 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75–79?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.992 | $1.16 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75–79?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.992 | $1.16 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Trump’s approval rating be <44.5% on July 11?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.960 | $1.13 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Lonzo Ball get traded to the Miami Heat?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.999 | $1.05 | Feb 4, 2025 |
Will $Trump FDV be $3-5b on inauguration day?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.999 | $1.07 | Jan 19, 2025 |
Will Coinbase list $TRUMP in January?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.920 | $1.14 | Jan 19, 2025 |
Will the high in Washington DC be 19°F or below on January 20?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.997 | $1.07 | Jan 19, 2025 |
Will ECB lower interest rates by more than 50bps in January 2025?No | sell | 1.17 | $0.998 | $1.17 | Jan 19, 2025 |
Mahamat Déby out as President of Chad in January?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.983 | $1.17 | Jan 19, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk perform the star spangled banner at Trump's inauguration?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.001 | $0.13 | Jan 19, 2025 |
Will $TRUMP memecoin creator sell by Sunday?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.973 | $1.06 | Jan 18, 2025 |
Was Trump hacked?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.986 | $1.13 | Jan 18, 2025 |
Will it rain in LA by next Friday?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.980 | $1.06 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Solana above $190 on January 17?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.996 | $1.08 | Jan 16, 2025 |
RedNote/Xiaohongshu #1 app on Friday?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.980 | $1.09 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 19?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.991 | $1.14 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Debt ceiling raised or suspended by inauguration?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.992 | $1.14 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Will Trump's inaugural address be under 8 minutes?No | sell | 1.15 | $0.992 | $1.14 | Jan 16, 2025 |
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 19?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.947 | $1.09 | Jan 13, 2025 |
Mahamat Déby out as President of Chad in January?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.970 | $1.16 | Jan 13, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk perform the star spangled banner at Trump's inauguration?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.009 | $1.08 | Jan 13, 2025 |
Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.995 | $1.06 | Jan 13, 2025 |
US inauguration on January 20?Yes | sell | 1.09 | $0.987 | $1.08 | Jan 13, 2025 |
Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | sell | 1.14 | $0.993 | $1.13 | Jan 13, 2025 |
Will Trump's inaugural address be under 8 minutes?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.993 | $1.15 | Jan 11, 2025 |
US inauguration on January 20?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.988 | $1.08 | Jan 11, 2025 |