Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $6.63 | +$1.63 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US loose jobs in September?Yes | buy | 20.2 | $0.099 | $2 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 |
| Yes |
| 14.29 |
| $0.140 |
| $1.14 |
| -$0.86 |
| buy |
| 16.67 |
| $0.240 |
| $4 |
| Oct 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in 2025?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Median" during September press conference?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.300 | $2 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Noche UFC: Hernandez vs. FerreiraFerreira | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Noche UFC: Lopes vs. SilvaLopes | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Boxing: Will Canelo Álvarez win by Points or Decision?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Cortes-AcostaAcosta | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. AlcarazSinner | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. AlcarazSinner | buy | 30.77 | $0.650 | $20 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.180 | $3 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Aug 17, 2025 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.140 | $4 | Aug 17, 2025 |
 UFC 319: Murphy vs. PicoMurphy | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Aug 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 32.95 | $0.061 | $2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Kraken IPO in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Recession" during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.540 | $4 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during July Press Conference?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Jul 25, 2025 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jul 25, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jul 14, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Green new scam" during the Energy and Innovation Summit on July 15?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.290 | $2 | Jul 14, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in June?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 12.9 | $0.310 | $4 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?Yes | buy | 15.75 | $0.635 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 US x Iran ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Israel invade Iran before July?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.5% Friday?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.420 | $3 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran before July?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Ass" this week?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Jun 15, 2025 |
 Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.026 | $2 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 15?No | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | Jun 14, 2025 |