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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.826 | $2.77K | +$294.84 |
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| Yes |
| 979.35 |
| $0.673 |
| $871.62 |
| +$212 |
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 751.02 | $0.883 | $736.38 | +$73.02 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 693.15 | $0.926 | $652.95 | +$11.09 |
Will Alibaba be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 655.5 | $0.958 | $640.75 | +$13.04 |
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 652.7 | $0.929 | $638.67 | +$32.07 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510? | No | 700.76 | $0.895 | $627.18 | +$0.27 |
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13? | No | 630.22 | $0.971 | $617.62 | +$5.92 |
Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)? | No | 616.2 | $0.959 | $600.18 | +$9.09 |
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 552.86 | $0.846 | $489.28 | +$21.43 |
Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 612.45 | $0.735 | $479.24 | +$28.98 |
Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? | No | 506.8 | $0.882 | $476.39 | +$29.41 |
Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | No | 527.85 | $0.900 | $459.23 | -$16.04 |
Will Alibaba be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 460 | $0.940 | $454.94 | +$22.34 |
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 560.55 | $0.822 | $454.05 | -$6.6 |
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? | No | 370.68 | $0.925 | $360.49 | +$17.71 |
Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 378.06 | $0.681 | $355.38 | +$98.06 |
Will Moonshot be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026? | No | 368.4 | $0.904 | $355.14 | +$22.13 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 400.12 | $0.681 | $340.1 | +$67.5 |
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520? | No | 355.04 | $0.952 | $338.35 | +$0.47 |
Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 514.82 | $0.662 | $334.63 | -$6.36 |
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 7-13? | No | 300.39 | $0.980 | $299.19 | +$4.82 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 7 2026? | No | 290.52 | $0.980 | $290.37 | +$5.79 |
Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | No | 236.9 | $0.943 | $230.39 | +$6.99 |
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026? | Yes | 280 | $0.590 | $222.6 | +$57.4 |