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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in August?No | buy | 16.72 | $0.999 | $16.7 | 12d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 16.55 |
| $0.997 |
| $16.5 |
| 20d ago |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 16.62 | $0.999 | $16.6 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?No | buy | 68.67 | $0.999 | $68.6 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 68.57 | $0.999 | $68.5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in May 2026?No | buy | 68.47 | $0.999 | $68.4 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 27?Yes | buy | 68.47 | $0.999 | $68.4 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?No | buy | 68.37 | $0.999 | $68.3 | May 21, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?Yes | buy | 68.27 | $0.999 | $68.2 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 68.07 | $0.999 | $68 | May 11, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?Yes | buy | 68.17 | $0.999 | $68.1 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No | buy | 68.07 | $0.999 | $68 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 27?No | buy | 68.1 | $0.999 | $68.03 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?No | buy | 68.04 | $0.999 | $67.97 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 17?No | buy | 67.97 | $0.999 | $67.9 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on April 8?No | buy | 67.91 | $0.999 | $67.84 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?No | buy | 67.85 | $0.999 | $67.78 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?No | buy | 67.78 | $0.999 | $67.71 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?No | buy | 67.71 | $0.997 | $67.51 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 12?No | buy | 67.51 | $0.999 | $67.44 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?Yes | buy | 67.45 | $0.999 | $67.38 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 5?Yes | buy | 700 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 2?No | buy | 68.78 | $0.999 | $68.71 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No | buy | 68.71 | $0.999 | $68.64 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 2?No | buy | 68.64 | $0.999 | $68.57 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 137.3 | $0.148 | $20.31 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?No | buy | 58.85 | $0.999 | $58.79 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 15?Yes | buy | 30.03 | $0.999 | $30 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 8?No | buy | 88.79 | $0.999 | $88.7 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | buy | 88.71 | $0.998 | $88.53 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?No | buy | 88.53 | $0.999 | $88.44 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 19?No | buy | 28.38 | $0.999 | $28.35 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on December 19?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?No | buy | 60.06 | $0.999 | $60 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 11?No | buy | 72.22 | $0.999 | $72.15 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 42°F or higher on December 11?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Grok be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?No | buy | 15.02 | $0.999 | $15 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 7?Yes | buy | 28.03 | $0.999 | $28 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 18?No | buy | 20.1 | $0.995 | $20 | Nov 18, 2025 |
 Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.999 | $1.19 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 18?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.999 | $1.26 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?No | buy | 24.16 | $0.999 | $24.14 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No | buy | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will Moonshot have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Nov 10, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?No | buy | 26.14 | $0.999 | $26.11 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 5?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of November 2025?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |