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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETDown | buy | 104.17 | $0.480 | $50 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 554.44 |
| $0.096 |
| $53.27 |
| Jun 20, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 554.44 | $0.104 | $57.8 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 206.61 | $0.639 | $132.12 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 206.61 | $0.484 | $100 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | sell | 309.07 | $0.717 | $221.73 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | buy | 309.07 | $0.274 | $84.7 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 738.89 | $0.280 | $206.89 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 738.89 | $0.270 | $199.5 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 737.03 | $0.270 | $199 | May 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 737.04 | $0.270 | $199 | May 7, 2026 |
 Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.039 | $47.96 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 James Comey arrested by May 15?No | buy | 203.33 | $0.300 | $61 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETUp | buy | 45.24 | $0.540 | $24.43 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETDown | buy | 88.26 | $0.418 | $36.88 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETDown | sell | 38.98 | $0.990 | $38.59 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETDown | buy | 38.45 | $0.630 | $24.22 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 171.71 | $0.145 | $24.88 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 171.71 | $0.232 | $39.8 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETDown | buy | 11.37 | $0.780 | $8.87 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETDown | buy | 24.71 | $0.510 | $12.59 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | sell | 129.39 | $0.400 | $51.76 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | sell | 330.25 | $0.220 | $72.66 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes | sell | 94 | $0.590 | $55.46 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 56.29 | $0.381 | $21.44 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 89.9 | $0.198 | $17.8 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 94 | $0.500 | $47 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 126.25 | $0.008 | $1 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 114.4 | $0.250 | $28.6 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETUp | sell | 13.82 | $0.990 | $13.68 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETUp | buy | 13.67 | $0.700 | $9.57 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 99.37 | $0.411 | $40.85 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 159.57 | $0.230 | $36.7 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Trump and JD Vance handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 30.03 | $0.358 | $10.76 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETDown | buy | 51.91 | $0.840 | $43.6 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETDown | sell | 110.01 | $0.990 | $108.91 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETDown | buy | 108.27 | $0.510 | $55.22 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETDown | buy | 71.28 | $0.642 | $45.76 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETDown | sell | 96.01 | $0.978 | $93.88 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETDown | buy | 94.67 | $0.380 | $35.97 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 306.25 | $0.020 | $6.13 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 318.64 | $0.410 | $130.64 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 306.25 | $0.160 | $49 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 318.65 | $0.471 | $150 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 184.89 | $0.770 | $142.37 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 91.83 | $0.480 | $44.08 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 93.96 | $0.149 | $14 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp | sell | 59.26 | $0.990 | $58.67 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETUp | buy | 58.85 | $0.787 | $46.34 | Feb 19, 2026 |