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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | Yes | 522.83 | $0.920 | $410.42 | -$70.58 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 522.83 | $0.920 | $481 | 9d ago |
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| Yes |
| 1.16 |
| $0.860 |
| $0.67 |
| -$0.33 |
| buy |
| 250 |
| $0.960 |
| $240 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 232.56 | $0.860 | $200 | Jul 10, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 443.04 | $0.790 | $350 | Jun 17, 2026 |
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 350.52 | $0.670 | $234.85 | Mar 31, 2026 |
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 234.85 | $0.964 | $226.4 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?Yes | buy | 26.4 | $0.946 | $24.97 | Mar 2, 2026 |
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 7.19 | $0.974 | $7 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.650 | $130 | Feb 28, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 137.94 | $0.950 | $131 | Feb 25, 2026 |
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 130.68 | $0.880 | $115 | Feb 23, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 17.76 | $0.844 | $15 | Feb 20, 2026 |
Will Italy win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 114.64 | $0.872 | $100 | Feb 20, 2026 |