Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1.67 | +$0.67 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 5.35 | $0.187 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
|
| No |
| 1.54 |
| $0.650 |
| $1.32 |
| +$0.32 |
| buy |
| 3.33 |
| $0.300 |
| $1 |
| Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.11 | $0.475 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.645 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 3.37 | $0.297 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 1.77 | $0.564 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will another coalition form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 20.35 | $0.983 | $20 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 29.09 | $0.820 | $23.85 | Jul 16, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?No | sell | 28.12 | $0.570 | $16.03 | Jul 13, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | sell | 13.43 | $0.370 | $4.97 | Jul 13, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?No | buy | 28.13 | $0.320 | $9 | Jul 5, 2024 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 13.43 | $0.670 | $9 | Jul 5, 2024 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 10.98 | $0.910 | $9.99 | Jul 5, 2024 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jul 3, 2024 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 137.05 | $0.140 | $19.19 | Jul 2, 2024 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 137.05 | $0.210 | $28.78 | Jul 2, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.046 | $0.46 | Jul 2, 2024 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Jul 2, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Jul 2, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.660 | $4 | Jul 2, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Jul 2, 2024 |