Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 1.03K | $0.217 | $199.96 | -$23.04 |
| Ethos FDV above $50M one day after launch? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethos FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 86.3 | $0.578 | $49.85 | 5d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 86.3 |
| $0.578 |
| $61.27 |
| +$11.42 |
| Ethos FDV above $75M one day after launch? | Yes | 120.99 | $0.360 | $31.46 | -$12.1 |
| buy |
| 120.99 |
| $0.360 |
| $43.56 |
| 5d ago |
| Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 390.44 | $0.230 | $89.8 | 5d ago |
| Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.230 | $46 | 5d ago |
| Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.184 | $9.2 | 8d ago |
| Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | 8d ago |
| Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.160 | $4 | 8d ago |
| Over $20M committed to the Ethos public sale?No | buy | 300.4 | $0.999 | $300 | 8d ago |
| Over $20M committed to the Ethos public sale?No | buy | 801.6 | $0.998 | $800 | 8d ago |
| Over $15M committed to the Ethos public sale?No | buy | 600.85 | $0.999 | $600 | 8d ago |
| Over $10M committed to the Ethos public sale?No | buy | 85 | $0.999 | $84.92 | 8d ago |
| Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | 8d ago |
| Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | 8d ago |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 101.32 | $0.987 | $100 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 318.04 | $0.948 | $301.49 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.007 | $35 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.950 | $14.25 | May 13, 2026 |
 GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.81K | $0.996 | $1.8K | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.94K | $0.983 | $3.87K | Apr 23, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.990 | $1.36K | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.58 | $0.940 | $1.48 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.77 | $0.940 | $43.97 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.971 | $1.43K | Apr 23, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.31K | $0.985 | $2.28K | Apr 23, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.976 | $1.15K | Apr 23, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 289 | $0.973 | $281.2 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 69.2 | $0.980 | $67.82 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.39K | $0.980 | $3.32K | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.5 not be released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 90.69 | $0.977 | $88.61 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.980 | $980 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.12K | $0.981 | $2.08K | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 1.16K | $0.991 | $1.15K | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 11.72 | $0.989 | $11.59 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 208 | $0.985 | $204.79 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Claude 4.7 released by June 30?Yes | buy | 116.6 | $0.990 | $115.49 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 104.82 | $0.986 | $103.33 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 96.81 | $0.980 | $94.84 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Claude 4.7 released by June 30?Yes | buy | 146.13 | $0.980 | $143.15 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Claude 4.7 released by May 31?Yes | buy | 242 | $0.977 | $236.39 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?Yes | buy | 827.38 | $0.998 | $825.73 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 23-29?Yes | buy | 797.32 | $0.090 | $71.76 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 929.37 | $0.998 | $927.51 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 26.4 | $0.048 | $1.27 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Yes | buy | 819.67 | $0.122 | $100 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Yes | buy | 413.08 | $0.121 | $50 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Yes | buy | 838.58 | $0.119 | $100 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 419.78 | $0.060 | $25 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?No | sell | 385.13 | $0.041 | $15.97 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.370 | $50 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,000 February 23-March 1?Yes | sell | 955.52 | $0.999 | $954.56 | Feb 25, 2026 |