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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Powell say "Food" or "Energy" 3+ times during March press conference?No | buy | 814.65 | $0.144 | $117.47 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 3.12K |
| $0.017 |
| $53.02 |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.95K | $0.033 | $64.46 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.12K | $0.026 | $80 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.95K | $0.041 | $80 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.160 | $160 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 64.14K | $0.001 | $64.14 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 400.88 | $0.160 | $64.14 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.72K | $0.004 | $50.86 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.4K | $0.160 | $224.14 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 225 | $0.420 | $94.5 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 154.77 | $0.560 | $86.67 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | sell | 29.1 | $0.910 | $26.48 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.360 | $9 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.280 | $7 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 10.63 | $0.460 | $4.89 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.08K | $0.070 | $145.91 | Feb 18, 2026 |