Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 18.18 | $0.055 | $16.9 | +$15.9 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.997 | $36.92 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.08 |
| $0.480 |
| $1.07 |
| +$0.07 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 2.78 | $0.360 | $0.4 | -$0.6 |
| sell |
| 1.4 |
| $0.700 |
| $0.98 |
| Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.993 | $0.99 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.03 | $0.962 | $0.99 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.980 | $0.99 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 1.22 | $0.818 | $1 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?Yes | sell | 30.3 | $0.032 | $0.97 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.015 | $1.67 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes | sell | 3.38 | $0.560 | $1.89 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will West Ham United FC win on 2025-12-14?No | sell | 2.66 | $0.710 | $1.89 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.610 | $1.85 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Counter-Strike: 9INE vs BIG (BO3)9INE | sell | 3.92 | $0.470 | $1.84 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | sell | 3.38 | $0.570 | $1.93 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes | sell | 10.25 | $0.189 | $1.94 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.530 | $1.96 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?No | sell | 2.4 | $0.820 | $1.97 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 2.35 | $0.840 | $1.97 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.02 | $0.985 | $1.99 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?No | sell | 2 | $0.996 | $1.99 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.16 | $0.926 | $2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 2.24 | $0.900 | $2.02 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Vitality win the StarLadder Budapest Major 2025?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.720 | $1.99 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Canucks vs. DevilsCanucks | sell | 4.44 | $0.460 | $2.04 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-14?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 2.53 | $0.800 | $2.02 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Sevilla FC win on 2025-12-14?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.900 | $3.74 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.670 | $2.91 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No | sell | 3.09 | $0.961 | $2.97 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?No | sell | 3.3 | $0.903 | $2.98 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Boston Breach (BO5)Riyadh Falcons | sell | 6.12 | $0.500 | $3.06 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 14?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.991 | $4.98 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.950 | $4.94 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 5.16 | $0.969 | $5 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Wizards vs. PacersPacers | sell | 6.57 | $0.770 | $5.06 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 19.23 | $0.490 | $9.42 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 11.76 | $0.840 | $9.88 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.900 | $9.77 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 10.16 | $0.983 | $9.99 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?No | sell | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.630 | $9.84 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?No | sell | 10.54 | $0.975 | $10.27 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Chargers vs. ChiefsChiefs | sell | 15.49 | $0.700 | $10.84 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.22 | $0.890 | $10.88 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | sell | 11.02 | $0.996 | $10.98 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will "Ella McCay" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2.5m?Yes | sell | 11.16 | $0.982 | $10.96 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?Yes | sell | 11.03 | $0.996 | $10.99 | Dec 14, 2025 |