Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 900 | $0.753 | $523.8 | -$153.89 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | sell | 173.38 | $0.230 | $39.88 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 400 |
| $0.830 |
| $354 |
| +$22 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 400 | $0.830 | $338 | +$6 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 330 | $0.941 | $319.94 | +$9.41 |
 Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 1K | $0.370 | $315 | -$55 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 400 | $0.740 | $298 | +$2 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 300 | $0.630 | $244.5 | +$55.5 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 600 | $0.683 | $219 | -$191 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 200 | $0.770 | $152 | -$2 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 700 | $0.463 | $143.5 | -$180.5 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.700 | $119 | -$21 |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | No | 230 | $0.489 | $89.7 | -$22.8 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 200 | $0.710 | $73 | -$69 |
| sell |
| 270 |
| $0.140 |
| $37.8 |
| 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | sell | 226.62 | $0.370 | $83.85 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | sell | 30 | $0.150 | $4.5 | 1d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | buy | 400 | $0.510 | $204 | 2d ago |
| Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.370 | $370 | 11d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.440 | $132 | 15d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.203 | $40.62 | 16d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.710 | $142 | 22d ago |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.770 | $154 | 22d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 276.17 | $0.697 | $192.46 | 22d ago |
| Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No | buy | 230 | $0.489 | $112.5 | 22d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 200 | $0.710 | $142 | 23d ago |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.740 | $296 | 25d ago |
 Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.900 | $180 | 25d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.830 | $332 | 26d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.750 | $97.5 | 26d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.480 | $192 | 27d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 400 | $0.830 | $332 | 28d ago |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 300 | $0.630 | $189 | 28d ago |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 80 | $0.740 | $59.2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.740 | $444 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 350 | $0.966 | $338.1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 700 | $0.966 | $676.2 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.247 | $24.75 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.941 | $1.32K | May 31, 2026 |
 Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers | buy | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | May 14, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.072 | $1.44 | May 14, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 3.2K | $0.006 | $19.2 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 3.2K | $0.007 | $22.4 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.830 | $166 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Thunder vs. NuggetsThunder | buy | 681.27 | $0.780 | $531.39 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.950 | $1.9K | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Heat vs. BullsBulls | sell | 3K | $0.470 | $1.41K | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 310 | $0.340 | $105.4 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.800 | $1.6K | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Suns vs. WizardsSuns | buy | 4.8K | $0.800 | $3.84K | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Pistons vs. ClippersClippers | sell | 480 | $0.860 | $412.8 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Thunder vs. TimberwolvesThunder | buy | 100 | $0.730 | $73 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 200 | $0.961 | $192.2 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Knicks vs. RaptorsKnicks | buy | 1.05K | $0.980 | $1.02K | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Nuggets vs. HawksHawks | buy | 400 | $0.668 | $267.4 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Nuggets vs. HawksNuggets | sell | 500.02 | $0.440 | $220.01 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Nuggets vs. HawksNuggets | buy | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Nuggets vs. HawksNuggets | buy | 300 | $0.268 | $80.52 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Nuggets vs. HawksNuggets | buy | 300 | $0.260 | $78 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Nuggets vs. HawksNuggets | buy | 300 | $0.260 | $78 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Nov 29, 2025 |