Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 12.82 |
| $0.156 |
| $2 |
| Aug 22, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation before October?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Diddy released by July 4?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 June jobs report prints negative?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin close above $140K on July 31?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen before August?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue a Gold Card before August?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 XRP above $2.10 on June 27?No | sell | 9.96 | $0.999 | $9.95 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Will Obama congratulate Mamdani by Friday?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Thune fires Senate Parliamentarian MacDonough before July?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 27, 2025 |
 Trump trade deal before July?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.750 | $3.75 | Jun 27, 2025 |
| Trump trade deal before July?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Kai and iShowSpeed beat Super Mario Bros by noon Thursday?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by June 30?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 27?No | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| XRP above $2.10 on June 27?No | buy | 9.96 | $0.201 | $2 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 26?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 13.95 | $0.215 | $3 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.879 | $21.97 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by Wednesday?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 US strike on Iran on June 24?Yes | buy | 18.5 | $0.054 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 214.07 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Tether acquire Circle before September?Yes | buy | 143.57 | $0.014 | $2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by Monday?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 9.38 | $0.320 | $3 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?Yes | sell | 65.78 | $0.007 | $0.46 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4PM ETUp | buy | 9.8 | $0.510 | $5 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 23?Down | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Will Serbia vs. Albania end in a draw?Yes | buy | 9.38 | $0.320 | $3 | Jun 7, 2025 |
| Will Albania beat Serbia?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Jun 7, 2025 |
 Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 13-19?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | May 19, 2025 |