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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.540 | $20 | Dec 9, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 70 |
| $0.170 |
| $11.9 |
| Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 16.32 | $0.460 | $7.51 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 16.33 | $0.490 | $8 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.186 | $13 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.510 | $3.92 | Nov 14, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 11.53 | $0.520 | $6 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 15.62 | $0.550 | $8.59 | Nov 14, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.096 | $1.07 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.073 | $1.32 | Nov 4, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Oct 31, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.090 | $0.69 | Oct 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.150 | $3 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.050 | $0.5 | Oct 24, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.011 | $0.1 | Oct 24, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Oct 22, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.680 | $4.53 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1 | Oct 20, 2025 |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 95.45 | $0.010 | $1 | Oct 16, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 15.63 | $0.320 | $5 | Oct 12, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Oct 11, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | sell | 8.06 | $0.760 | $6.13 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes | sell | 7.24 | $0.915 | $6.62 | Oct 11, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 13.88 | $0.370 | $5.14 | Oct 10, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Oct 7, 2025 |
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.500 | $5.56 | Oct 7, 2025 |
US government shutdown by October 1?No | sell | 29.41 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Oct 1, 2025 |
US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 23.53 | $0.340 | $8 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No | sell | 11.9 | $0.670 | $7.97 | Sep 26, 2025 |
US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Sep 26, 2025 |
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Sep 17, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.45 | $0.940 | $7 | Sep 16, 2025 |
TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?No | buy | 102.38 | $0.039 | $4 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence CrawfordCanelo | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Sep 13, 2025 |
"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?Yes | sell | 416.66 | $0.012 | $5.08 | Sep 13, 2025 |
"Demon Slayer" grosses higher than "The Conjuring" opening weekend?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.024 | $10 | Sep 13, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?No | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Sep 13, 2025 |
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Sep 13, 2025 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?Yes | sell | 92.59 | $0.062 | $5.74 | Sep 13, 2025 |