Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?No | sell | 105.42 | $0.938 | $98.9 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 107.84 |
| $0.989 |
| $106.64 |
| Jun 2, 2025 |
| Trump announces withdrawal of U.S. troops from Warsaw Pact country before July?No | buy | 105.43 | $0.877 | $92.47 | Mar 22, 2025 |
 Bitcoin all time high by March 31?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.870 | $1.12 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Liverpool wins the Premier League?Yes | sell | 3.78 | $0.954 | $3.61 | Mar 7, 2025 |
| Will US leave NATO by June 30?No | buy | 107.84 | $0.918 | $99 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?No | buy | 18.86 | $0.530 | $10 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?No | sell | 14.07 | $0.730 | $10.27 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 14.93 | $0.660 | $9.85 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?Yes | sell | 23.25 | $0.400 | $9.3 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?No | sell | 37.79 | $0.550 | $20.78 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?Yes | sell | 50.84 | $0.390 | $19.83 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?Yes | sell | 24.27 | $0.360 | $8.74 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?No | sell | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.460 | $9.58 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?Yes | sell | 24.37 | $0.360 | $8.77 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?Yes | sell | 17.85 | $0.570 | $10.17 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?Yes | sell | 28.57 | $0.360 | $10.29 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Ripple above $2.70 on February 21?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.200 | $11.11 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?Yes | sell | 32.25 | $0.330 | $10.64 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?No | sell | 126.59 | $0.330 | $41.77 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 14.92 | $0.670 | $10 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?No | sell | 19.68 | $0.360 | $7.08 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 650-699 times Feb 14-21?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.620 | $10.33 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?No | sell | 15 | $0.530 | $7.95 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?No | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?No | sell | 7.87 | $0.370 | $2.91 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?No | sell | 16.39 | $0.560 | $9.18 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Solana above $200 on February 21?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.080 | $8.89 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.390 | $10.26 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.330 | $10.31 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?Yes | sell | 110.37 | $0.210 | $23.18 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?Yes | sell | 20.38 | $0.190 | $3.87 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?Yes | sell | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Solana above $200 on February 21?No | buy | 10.63 | $0.940 | $9.99 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?Yes | sell | 18.86 | $0.430 | $8.11 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.150 | $10 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.080 | $8.89 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?No | buy | 20.4 | $0.490 | $10 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Gold missing from Fort Knox?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Gold missing from Fort Knox?Yes | buy | 47.61 | $0.210 | $10 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?Yes | buy | 17.85 | $0.560 | $10 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?No | buy | 16.94 | $0.590 | $9.99 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?Yes | sell | 22.72 | $0.430 | $9.77 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.610 | $9.83 | Feb 18, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?No | sell | 29.4 | $0.360 | $10.58 | Feb 17, 2025 |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?No | sell | 8 | $0.360 | $2.88 | Feb 17, 2025 |