Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | Yes | 180.73 | $0.332 | $9.04 | -$50.96 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.280 | $40 | May 4, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 37.87 |
| $0.528 |
| $20 |
| Apr 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.140 | $4.67 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 21.27 | $0.670 | $14.25 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 46.42 | $0.520 | $24.14 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 18.55 | $0.539 | $10 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | sell | 15.62 | $0.221 | $3.45 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.450 | $3 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.35 | $0.962 | $5.15 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Nov 22, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.700 | $10.29 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | sell | 3.7 | $0.220 | $0.81 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | sell | 2.85 | $0.952 | $2.71 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.700 | $2 | Nov 9, 2025 |
 Will None in 2025 occur?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Nvidia" this week? (November 3 - 9)Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Nov 1, 2025 |