Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 747.74 | $0.491 | $375.74 | +$8.86 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 666 |
| $0.500 |
| $331.34 |
| -$1.67 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 50.93 | $0.722 | $45.58 | +$8.79 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? | Yes | 78.83 | $0.090 | $37.76 | +$30.63 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | Yes | 78.69 | $0.120 | $35.8 | +$26.39 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%? | Yes | 154.95 | $0.038 | $27.58 | +$21.67 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 22.56 | $0.842 | $21.32 | +$2.32 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 16.59 | $0.783 | $13.37 | +$0.37 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 10 | $0.850 | $9.35 | +$0.85 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 7.73 | $0.905 | $7.51 | +$0.51 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 6.5 | $0.923 | $6.47 | +$0.47 |
 Yoon out of custody before 2027? | No | 5.93 | $0.843 | $5.51 | +$0.51 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 13.13 | $0.251 | $5.32 | +$2.02 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 7.14 | $0.140 | $4.75 | +$3.75 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.320 | $4.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 23.11 | $0.476 | $3.89 | -$7.11 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3.49 | $0.860 | $3.06 | +$0.05 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 6 | $0.500 | $2.91 | -$0.09 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 3.13 | $0.320 | $2.77 | +$1.77 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | No | 2.7 | $0.741 | $2.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2.42 | +$0.42 |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | Yes | 17.27 | $0.173 | $2.24 | -$0.74 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2.24 | $0.896 | $2.16 | +$0.15 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 28.43 | $0.105 | $2.03 | -$0.97 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.72 | $0.350 | $1.97 | -$0.03 |
| sell |
| 4.54 |
| $0.280 |
| $1.27 |
| 1d ago |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | sell | 26.22 | $0.460 | $12.06 | 1d ago |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes | sell | 26.27 | $0.444 | $11.66 | 1d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" in 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | 11d ago |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.204 | $3.06 | 12d ago |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | 16d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.410 | $1.08 | 17d ago |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | 18d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 5.78 | $0.173 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | 20d ago |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.085 | $1 | 23d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | 24d ago |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?No | sell | 3.31 | $0.540 | $1.79 | 26d ago |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | 29d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | 29d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | 29d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.011 | $0.07 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.228 | $1.14 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes | buy | 0.94 | $0.170 | $0.16 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 7.07 | $0.283 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.64 | $0.385 | $2.17 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.65 | $0.177 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.006 | $1.02 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.080 | $0.8 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.116 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | sell | 12.88 | $0.930 | $11.98 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 5.77 | $0.520 | $3 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | sell | 3.22 | $0.470 | $1.51 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.070 | $2.1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.656 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.213 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?Yes | buy | 171.66 | $0.001 | $0.17 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?Yes | buy | 176 | $0.001 | $0.18 | Jul 13, 2026 |