Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 11.24 | $0.840 | $8.15 | -$1.29 |
 Will Iran legalize gay marriage? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | sell | 13.21 | $0.830 | $10.96 | 23d ago |
 |
| No |
| 4.44 |
| $0.979 |
| $4.36 |
| +$0.01 |
 U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | Yes | 19.84 | $0.410 | $2.88 | -$5.26 |
 Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 7.11 | $0.320 | $1.67 | -$0.61 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.52 | $0.210 | $1.54 | -$0.04 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 46.66 | $0.080 | $1.42 | -$2.31 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 11.04 | $0.440 | $1.38 | -$3.48 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 136.74 | $0.008 | $1.3 | +$0.21 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 7.44 | $0.450 | $1 | -$2.34 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.160 | $0.8 | -$0.8 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | Yes | 12.14 | $0.260 | $0.67 | -$2.49 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | 1.84 | $0.150 | $0.14 | -$0.14 |
 Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | Yes | 6.43 | $0.170 | $0.03 | -$1.06 |
| buy |
| 10.84 |
| $0.189 |
| $2.05 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?Yes | buy | 6.96 | $0.978 | $6.81 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.984 | $1.61 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?Yes | buy | 7.25 | $0.988 | $7.16 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 67.33 | $0.230 | $15.49 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes | sell | 54.84 | $0.999 | $54.79 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 No one announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 24.27 | $0.981 | $23.81 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes | buy | 4.21 | $0.990 | $4.17 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?Yes | buy | 2.73 | $0.989 | $2.7 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.056 | $3.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 224.87 | $0.090 | $20.24 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 4.71 | $0.920 | $4.33 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No | buy | 44.44 | $0.140 | $6.22 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.86 | $0.076 | $3.79 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.8 | $0.077 | $1.91 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | sell | 98.06 | $0.180 | $17.65 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.77 | $0.835 | $12.33 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 14.13 | $0.780 | $11.02 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.39 | $0.806 | $7.57 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.2 | $0.848 | $0.17 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.75 | $0.310 | $0.54 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.48 | $0.330 | $0.49 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.35 | $0.296 | $0.7 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No | sell | 5.91 | $0.870 | $5.14 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 96.31 | $0.160 | $15.41 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No | buy | 5.91 | $0.620 | $3.66 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 96.26 | $0.150 | $14.44 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | sell | 14.89 | $0.530 | $7.89 | May 30, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | sell | 11.26 | $0.570 | $6.42 | May 30, 2026 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.9 | $0.270 | $2.94 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will "Obsession" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?Yes | sell | 7.51 | $0.994 | $7.46 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?No | sell | 7.51 | $0.999 | $7.5 | May 30, 2026 |
 Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.54 | $0.290 | $7.7 | May 30, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 17.51 | $0.450 | $7.88 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?Yes | sell | 8.09 | $0.993 | $8.03 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?No | sell | 8.84 | $0.997 | $8.81 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | sell | 12.79 | $0.805 | $10.3 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No | sell | 39.17 | $0.541 | $21.19 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 7.08 | $0.920 | $6.51 | May 29, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes | sell | 57.23 | $0.140 | $8.01 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 24.97 | $0.350 | $8.74 | May 29, 2026 |
 SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?Yes | sell | 10.73 | $0.895 | $9.6 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.576 | $2.88 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?Yes | sell | 12.85 | $0.790 | $10.15 | May 29, 2026 |
 Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Yes | sell | 831.11 | $0.009 | $7.48 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | sell | 12.53 | $0.900 | $11.28 | May 29, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 26.25 | $0.440 | $11.55 | May 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 62.65 | $0.200 | $12.53 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes | sell | 95.64 | $0.150 | $14.35 | May 29, 2026 |