Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 138.43 | $0.830 | $121.12 | +$6.23 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | sell | 40 | $0.999 | $39.96 | Jun 23, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 200 |
| $0.500 |
| $105 |
| +$5 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 120 | $0.790 | $90.78 | -$4.02 |
 Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 80 | $0.560 | $48.4 | +$3.6 |
 Blue tsunami in 2026? | Yes | 42 | $0.460 | $17.43 | -$1.89 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 32 | $0.460 | $6.56 | -$8.16 |
 UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | No | 6 | $0.900 | $5.77 | +$0.37 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 88 | $0.170 | $4.84 | -$10.12 |
 Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.906 | $4.81 | +$0.28 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 5 | $0.606 | $2.49 | -$0.54 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 10 | $0.842 | $1.69 | -$6.74 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.998 |
| $4.99 |
| May 10, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.170 | $14.96 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.180 | $30.6 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.560 | $44.8 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.850 | $102 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | buy | 5 | $0.606 | $3.03 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Ethereum flipped in 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.906 | $4.53 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.842 | $8.42 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 5 | $0.965 | $4.83 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 120 | $0.790 | $94.8 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win on 2025-09-09?Yes | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Ecuador vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.680 | $2.04 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.700 | $15 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Bybit withdrawals halted for >24 hours before April?Yes | buy | 121.9 | $0.120 | $14.63 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will ETH hard fork before April?No | buy | 10 | $0.960 | $9.6 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Bybit insolvent in 2025?Yes | buy | 650 | $0.100 | $65 | Feb 22, 2025 |
| Bybit insolvent before April?Yes | buy | 450 | $0.060 | $27 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Will Bybit buy >$1b ETH by next Friday?No | buy | 10 | $0.934 | $9.34 | Feb 22, 2025 |
 Argentina wins Copa America 2024?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.630 | $15 | Jul 12, 2024 |
 Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | sell | 638.9 | $0.227 | $144.82 | Jul 1, 2024 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | sell | 70 | $0.380 | $26.6 | Jun 30, 2024 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No | buy | 908.91 | $0.110 | $99.98 | Jun 27, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 150 | $0.600 | $90 | Jun 27, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 16.65 | $0.600 | $9.99 | Jun 27, 2024 |