Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1.85 | +$0.85 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 5 |
| $0.790 |
| $1.5 |
| -$2.45 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.949 | $1.47 | -$8.02 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 15 | $0.287 | $1.13 | -$3.17 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 3.7 | $0.270 | $0.61 | -$0.39 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.740 | $0.41 | -$1.59 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.470 | $0.28 | -$2.08 |
 Deel IPO before 2027? | Yes | 5 | $0.690 | $0.23 | -$3.23 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.160 | $0.2 | -$0.8 |
| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.973 |
| $9.73 |
| Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.797 | $39.85 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETUp | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Alien arrests in New York hit 4800+ by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.870 | $1.98 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?No | buy | 2.06 | $0.969 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.750 | $3 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.51 | $0.399 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ETUp | buy | 4.99 | $0.920 | $4.59 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.470 | $2.35 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.640 | $6.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Brandon Herrera be the Republican nominee for TX-23?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.630 | $3 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Discord IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.949 | $9.49 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.120 | $1.2 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 1?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 1?No | sell | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 1?No | buy | 5 | $0.640 | $3.2 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.160 | $1.6 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.190 | $1.9 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?Yes | buy | 7.48 | $0.858 | $6.42 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Dec 22, 2025 |