Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.540 | $2.84 | -$0.16 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Artemis II launch by April 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.074 | $1.48 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.56 |
| $0.640 |
| $1.44 |
| +$0.44 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.180 | $0.85 | -$1.15 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.22 | $0.360 | $0.63 | -$1.25 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 19.56 | $0.170 | $0.62 | -$2.71 |
 Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.080 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.13 | -$0.87 |
| buy |
| 2.07 |
| $0.810 |
| $1.68 |
| Jan 17, 2026 |
 GPT ads by March 31?No | buy | 19.82 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
 Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 34.88 | $0.163 | $5.68 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.56 | $0.160 | $2.33 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.420 | $2.33 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.22 | $0.360 | $1.88 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Yemen by December 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?No | buy | 7.52 | $0.133 | $1 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | sell | 7.04 | $0.750 | $5.28 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.074 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 144.29 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Clavicular charged by Jan 31?No | sell | 5.35 | $0.860 | $4.6 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?No | buy | 292.5 | $0.004 | $1.17 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
| Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 34.88 | $0.086 | $3 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Dec 31, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy wears a suit and tie during next Trump meeting?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.974 | $3 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 28, 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Clavicular charged by Jan 31?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.560 | $3 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.73 | $0.268 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Maduro out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.540 | $3 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?Yes | sell | 16.67 | $0.999 | $16.65 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: Elon EditionNo | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?Yes | buy | 41.19 | $0.024 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Santa deliver between 8,300,000,000 and 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.009 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Santa deliver between 8,100,000,000 and 8,200,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Will Bernie Sanders be named in newly released Epstein files?No | buy | 267.8 | $0.007 | $2 | Dec 23, 2025 |