Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?Yes | sell | 69.16 | $0.009 | $0.62 | Jun 17, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 160.61 |
| $0.001 |
| $0.16 |
| Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?Yes | buy | 111.41 | $0.045 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 16?Yes | buy | 49.21 | $0.041 | $2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?Yes | buy | 56.67 | $0.088 | $5 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.240 | $8 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | sell | 3.03 | $0.250 | $0.76 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | sell | 189.76 | $0.005 | $0.95 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.026 | $1 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.998 | $16.63 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 43.42 | $0.998 | $43.33 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | buy | 88.8 | $0.100 | $8.88 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 13.42 | $0.298 | $4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.017 | $2 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.011 | $2 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.200 | $6 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 157.89 | $0.019 | $3 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | sell | 458.33 | $0.060 | $27.5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.240 | $50 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.200 | $50 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 146.34 | $0.380 | $55.61 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | sell | 63.4 | $0.360 | $22.82 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | sell | 76.84 | $0.427 | $32.79 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes | buy | 63.41 | $0.270 | $17.12 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?Yes | buy | 76.84 | $0.510 | $39.21 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Yes | buy | 53.84 | $0.186 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.055 | $20 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 720 | $0.004 | $2.88 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 197.6 | $0.003 | $0.59 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 535.72 | $0.004 | $2.14 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will "Superman" Rotten Tomatoes score be 90 or higher?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.004 | $0.15 | Jul 9, 2025 |