Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 8.63K | $0.967 | $8.55K | +$203.57 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?No | buy | 200 | $0.858 | $171.6 | 13d ago |
|
| No |
| 1.77K |
| $0.914 |
| $1.73K |
| +$110.71 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.752 | $865 | +$113 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1K | $0.774 | $581.5 | -$192.9 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 500 | $0.828 | $463.5 | +$49.5 |
 Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | $0.634 | $325 | +$8 |
 Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 499.98 | $0.674 | $304.99 | -$32 |
| Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.887 | $284.55 | +$18.45 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | No | 400 | $0.660 | $282 | +$18 |
 Will New Democracy (ND) win the most seats in the next Greek parliamentary elections? | Yes | 300 | $0.920 | $259.5 | -$16.5 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 199.98 | $0.430 | $170.98 | +$84.99 |
 Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 176.76 | $0.594 | $166.42 | +$61.42 |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | No | 199.99 | $0.680 | $127.99 | -$8 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.480 | $117 | +$21 |
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 100 | $0.480 | $93.5 | +$45.5 |
 Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 100 | $0.585 | $82.75 | +$24.25 |
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 100 | $0.370 | $82 | +$45 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 100 | $0.600 | $75.5 | +$15.5 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 199.99 | $0.560 | $73 | -$39 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.810 | $55 | -$107 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 52.42 | $0.880 | $49.01 | +$2.88 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.560 | $36 | -$76 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | Yes | 100 | $0.906 | $14.4 | -$76.2 |
 Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 80 | $0.330 | $6.8 | -$19.6 |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 1.92 | $0.470 | $1.64 | +$0.74 |
| buy |
| 1K |
| $0.983 |
| $983 |
| 23d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No | buy | 200 | $0.870 | $174 | 23d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.840 | $336 | 23d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.860 | $344 | 23d ago |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | 23d ago |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 799.95 | $0.830 | $663.96 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Lionel Messi: 1+ shotsYes | buy | 207.28 | $0.920 | $190.7 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.989 | $197.8 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.016 | $32 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 1.6K | $0.920 | $1.47K | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.890 | $890 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 699 | $0.996 | $696.2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 1.4K | $0.994 | $1.39K | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will South Korea be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No | buy | 100 | $0.958 | $95.8 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?No | buy | 23.3 | $0.996 | $23.21 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.640 | $64 | Jun 25, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | sell | 1K | $0.999 | $999 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.117 | $46.67 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | sell | 2K | $0.998 | $2K | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | sell | 2K | $0.998 | $2K | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.780 | $7.8 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 500 | $0.820 | $410 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 299.99 | $0.996 | $298.79 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?No | sell | 228.75 | $0.995 | $227.61 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.989 | $197.8 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?No | buy | 30 | $0.330 | $9.9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 110 | $0.800 | $88 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 363.3 | $0.580 | $210.71 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.170 | $34 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain | buy | 101 | $0.510 | $51.51 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 500 | $0.995 | $497.5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 7K | $0.992 | $6.94K | Jun 8, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.92K | $0.997 | $5.9K | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will STRC market cap hit $12B by June 30?No | buy | 205 | $0.649 | $133 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 165.32 | $0.180 | $29.76 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 329.66 | $0.238 | $78.46 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.992 | $19.84 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 31.12 | $0.932 | $29 | May 22, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | buy | 200 | $0.920 | $184 | May 22, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.943 | $188.6 | May 21, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 124 | $0.950 | $117.8 | May 20, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | May 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown | buy | 7.58 | $0.660 | $5 | May 13, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No | sell | 400 | $0.930 | $372 | May 12, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.930 | $186 | May 12, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.381 | $38.05 | May 7, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | May 5, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?No | buy | 554.22 | $0.990 | $548.76 | May 3, 2026 |