Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 53.71 | $0.931 | $51.32 | +$1.32 |
 New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | sell | 30 | $0.430 | $12.9 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 34.99 |
| $0.892 |
| $33.45 |
| +$2.24 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 23.32 | $0.900 | $22.42 | +$1.43 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.900 | $19.51 | +$1.51 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 32 | $0.393 | $16.08 | +$3.5 |
 Abstract FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | Yes | 109.97 | $0.070 | $12.65 | +$4.95 |
 Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 12.6 | $0.998 | $12.59 | +$0.02 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 10 | $0.870 | $9.93 | +$1.23 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 26.32 | $0.596 | $4.08 | -$11.62 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 45.84 | $0.035 | $0.85 | -$0.74 |
| buy |
| 0.77 |
| $0.900 |
| $0.69 |
| Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?Yes | buy | 40.41 | $0.039 | $1.58 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 66.66 | $0.996 | $66.39 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.974 | $17.53 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US bank failure by May 31?No | buy | 14 | $0.975 | $13.65 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.994 | $11.93 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 22 | $0.994 | $21.87 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 17 | $0.977 | $16.61 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 29.31 | $0.993 | $29.1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.393 | $12.58 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 59.52 | $0.220 | $13.09 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.939 | $28.17 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.596 | $15.7 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 24 | $0.991 | $23.78 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14?Up | buy | 31.93 | $0.984 | $31.42 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Lee Jun-seok win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes | sell | 699.98 | $0.002 | $1.4 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.931 | $37.24 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No | sell | 5.1 | $0.975 | $4.97 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 12.6 | $0.998 | $12.57 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 45.84 | $0.035 | $1.59 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?No | buy | 21.85 | $0.995 | $21.74 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 31.68 | $0.995 | $31.52 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.560 | $5.6 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 26 | $0.994 | $25.84 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 X banned in U.K. by March 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.975 | $24.38 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.960 | $15.36 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 712.85 | $0.060 | $42.97 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 396 | $0.003 | $1.19 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 25 | $0.992 | $24.8 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.973 | $23.35 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 23.32 | $0.900 | $20.99 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?Yes | buy | 25.28 | $0.989 | $25 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 19.87 | $0.956 | $19 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?No | buy | 23 | $0.944 | $21.71 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes | buy | 237.23 | $0.010 | $2.37 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?No | buy | 625.64 | $0.039 | $24.4 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No | buy | 53.71 | $0.931 | $50 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?No | buy | 16.03 | $0.998 | $16 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 14.14 | $0.990 | $14 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 18.66 | $0.102 | $1.9 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.62K | $0.120 | $193.92 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 9.19 | $0.979 | $9 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?No | buy | 585.52 | $0.140 | $81.97 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?No | buy | 30 | $0.975 | $29.25 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 44.33 | $0.031 | $1.37 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.997 | $14.96 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?No | buy | 15.2 | $0.987 | $15 | Dec 1, 2025 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | buy | 14.02 | $0.982 | $13.77 | Dec 1, 2025 |