Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | No | 6.08 | $0.780 | $5.45 | +$0.71 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of August 31 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.810 | $6 | 8d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 27.27 |
| $0.220 |
| $1.77 |
| -$4.23 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | No | 6.1 | $0.210 | $0.64 | -$0.64 |
| buy |
| 6.42 |
| $0.690 |
| $4.43 |
| 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 14.63 | $0.410 | $6 | 22d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 26.09 | $0.230 | $6 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.750 | $6 | 27d ago |
 Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.210 | $6 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.740 | $6 | 29d ago |
 Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $171 Week of August 10 2026?No | buy | 12.24 | $0.490 | $6 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.240 | $6 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 10 2026?No | buy | 12.24 | $0.490 | $6 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.720 | $6 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.330 | $6 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.660 | $6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.96 | $0.670 | $6 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?No | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 13.64 | $0.440 | $6 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Yes | buy | 19.35 | $0.310 | $6 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 7.59 | $0.790 | $6 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.590 | $6 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 7.5 | $0.800 | $6 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 18.75 | $0.320 | $6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 Week of August 3 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.540 | $6 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.330 | $6 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.510 | $6 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 10 | $0.600 | $6 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 6, 2026?No | buy | 10.17 | $0.590 | $6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.780 | $6 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?No | buy | 4.36 | $0.690 | $3.01 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?Yes | buy | 7.65 | $0.790 | $6.04 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 12 | $0.500 | $6 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Boeing say "Guidance" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 11.25 | $0.480 | $5.4 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Save America Act" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?No | buy | 9 | $0.390 | $3.51 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 9.18 | $0.500 | $4.59 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.730 | $1.85 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.390 | $3.51 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.780 | $1.58 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?No | buy | 22.06 | $0.272 | $6 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.762 | $4.62 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.560 | $1.71 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.360 | $2.7 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?No | buy | 9.66 | $0.610 | $5.89 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?No | buy | 8.03 | $0.269 | $2.16 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?No | buy | 8.14 | $0.560 | $4.56 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of July 20 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.270 | $1.62 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.210 | $1.26 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.750 | $4.94 | Jul 19, 2026 |